Johor Darul Tazim FC vs Port FC
Match details. AFC Champions League Elite, League Phase - 3. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time. It is played at Sultan Ibrahim Stadium, Iskandarputri. The referee is Alireza Faghani.
What's at stake. Johor Darul Tazim FC are 6th on 4 points after 2 games, level on points with SHANGHAI SIPG, level on points with Daejeon Citizen. A win would take them above SHANGHAI SIPG. Port FC are 15th on 0 points after 2 games, level on points with Pohang Steelers, level on points with Newcastle Jets. A win would take them above Pohang Steelers.
Form. Johor Darul Tazim FC have won nine, drawn one and lost none of their last ten, 2.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition Johor Darul Tazim FC have gone W D. Port FC have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W. In this competition Port FC have gone L L.
The numbers. Johor Darul Tazim FC score 4.5 and concede 0.3 a game in their last six at home, with four clean sheets. Johor Darul Tazim FC average 19.0 shots (9.1 on target), 6.3 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Port FC score 1.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Port FC average 10.4 shots (4.8 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
The case against. Port FC's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. Johor Darul Tazim FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Johor Darul Tazim FC the likelier winners; Johor Darul Tazim FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Johor Darul Tazim FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 81%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.11, 100% on the records (Johor Darul Tazim FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home; Port FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Port FC Under 1.5 goals (Port FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Johor Darul Tazim FC 3-1 Port FC (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).