Tromsoe IL vs FK Haugesund
Match details. NM Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Romssa Arena, Tromsø.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Tromsoe IL have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W W. In this competition Tromsoe IL have gone W W. FK Haugesund have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D W. In this competition FK Haugesund have gone W.
The numbers. Tromsoe IL score 1.6 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Tromsoe IL average 14.4 shots (6.0 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.7 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. FK Haugesund score 2.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. FK Haugesund average 14.9 shots (6.3 on target), 6.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Tromsoe IL have won four, drawn one and lost three. Four of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Tromsoe IL won two and FK Haugesund won two. The last time they met, on 26 Oct 2025, it finished Tromsoe IL 3-2 FK Haugesund: Tromsoe IL had 16 shots to 8, 51% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 6% against the records' 48%.
The read. No firm call: FK Haugesund are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make FK Haugesund the likelier winners; FK Haugesund are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FK Haugesund. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Tromsoe IL or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs FK Haugesund); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Tromsoe IL 1-2 FK Haugesund (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).