Match details. NM Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at Aker Stadion, Molde.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Molde have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L W. In this competition Molde have gone W W. Stroemsgodset IF have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W. In this competition Stroemsgodset IF have gone W.
The numbers. Molde score 3.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Molde average 19.9 shots (9.1 on target), 5.6 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 60% of the ball. Stroemsgodset IF score 2.5 and concede one a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. Stroemsgodset IF average 15.5 shots (7.3 on target), 7.8 corners and 0.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Molde have won six, drawn one and lost two. Seven of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Molde won two and Stroemsgodset IF won two. The last time they met, on 31 Aug 2025, it finished Molde 1-3 Stroemsgodset IF: Molde had 14 shots to 17, 66% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 84% against the records' 48%.
The read. No firm call: Molde are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Molde are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Molde; the meetings favour Molde. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%. Seven of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (Molde are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Molde 2-1 Stroemsgodset IF (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).