Match details. Kristiansund BK take on Aalesunds FK in the NM Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time. The match is played at Nordmøre stadion, Kristiansund.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Kristiansund BK have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, taking 1.1 points a game. Their last five form reads D L L L W, though they have gone W W in this competition. Aalesunds FK have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, picking up 1.4 points a game. Their last five results are L W L W L, and they have gone W in this cup.
The numbers. Kristiansund BK score 1.7 and concede 2.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. They average 14.1 shots (4.3 on target), 3.6 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 42% of the ball. Aalesunds FK score 3.3 and concede 1.3 a game in their last seven away, with one clean sheet. They average 15.9 shots (6.1 on target), 5.7 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last four meetings, Kristiansund BK have won one, drawn one and lost two. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met on 17 Oct 2026, it finished Kristiansund BK 1-4 Aalesunds FK. Kristiansund BK had 15 shots to 16, 59% of the ball and four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their xG points to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 74%.
The case against. Aalesunds FK's record still gives them 48% to win.
The read. Kristiansund BK to win. Their goals for and against make Aalesunds FK the likelier winners. Aalesunds FK are the stronger side on form and the table. Both teams' records favour Aalesunds FK.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Both Teams to Score - Yes (the signs point different ways); Kristiansund BK or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Kristiansund BK 1-0 Aalesunds FK (6% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).