Match details. Premier League. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. RFK Akhmat Grozny have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L. Rodina Moscow have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D L.
The numbers. RFK Akhmat Grozny score 0.7 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and six games without a goal. RFK Akhmat Grozny average 4.4 corners and 2.5 cards a game. Rodina Moscow score 0.7 and concede two a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Rodina Moscow average 3.5 corners and 2.9 cards a game.
The case against. Rodina Moscow's record still gives them 43% to win.
The read. RFK Akhmat Grozny or the draw. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: RFK Akhmat Grozny 1-1 Rodina Moscow (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.19
RFK 5 of 7 (71%) · ROD 7 of 7 (100%)84.2%
RFK Akhmat Grozny: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Rodina Moscow: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · RFK Akhmat Grozny: only games against sides at Rodina Moscow's level · Rodina Moscow: only games against sides at RFK Akhmat Grozny's level
RODINA MOSCOW GOALS
Rodina Moscow Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.51
RFK 5 of 7 (71%) · ROD 6 of 7 (86%)64.8%
Rodina Moscow scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · RFK Akhmat Grozny conceded in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Rodina Moscow: only games against sides at RFK Akhmat Grozny's level · RFK Akhmat Grozny: only games against sides at Rodina Moscow's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–113.1%
RFK Akhmat Grozny goals →
Rodina Moscow goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-07%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.6%
1-40.9%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
RFK AKHMAT GROZNYLDLLLDLWDL0.60 PPG
RODINA MOSCOWWLWDLLDLLL0.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
RFK AKHMAT GROZNY HOMExRODINA MOSCOW AWAY
1.15SCORED A GAME1.151.46CONCEDED A GAME2.1540%BOTH SCORED70%20%CLEAN SHEETS10%4.38CORNERS A GAME3.462.46CARDS A GAME2.92
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
OVER 2.5 CARDS
–
258 OF 280
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game and the Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.40POINTS A GAME1.14-1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.71-1.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-5.60.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.65LEAGUE GAMES7
Rodina Moscow: the quality side - more points a game, better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
84%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
38%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
94%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
RFK AKHMAT GROZNY OR DRAW
62%
NO · 80/85
RODINA MOSCOW OR DRAW
63%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
RFK AKHMAT GROZNYxRODINA MOSCOW
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME1.201.80CONCEDED A GAME1.202.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE60%4.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES7.68.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES7.4
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
RFK Akhmat Grozny have scored in 40% of their games.
Rodina Moscow have scored in 80% of their games.
RFK Akhmat Grozny kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Rodina Moscow kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards