Match details. Azadegan League, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas FC are 13th on 6 points after 6 games, level on points with Naft Gachsaran, 2 points clear of Mes Kerman. A win would take them above Naft Gachsaran. Mes Rafsanjan FC are 2nd on 14 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Shenavarsazi Qeshm, level on points with Pars Jonoubi JAM. A win would take them above Shenavarsazi Qeshm.
Form. Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas FC have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D W. Mes Rafsanjan FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D.
The numbers. Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas FC score one and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Mes Rafsanjan FC score 0.9 and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and five games without a goal.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 20%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 2.5 Goals at 1.41, 80% on the records (Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas FC: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Mes Rafsanjan FC: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 6). Backup: Both Teams to Score - No at 1.55. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Mes Rafsanjan FC or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Mes Rafsanjan FC Over 0.5 Goals (Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Double Chance: Draw or Mes Rafsanjan FC (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas FC 0-0 Mes Rafsanjan FC (21% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).