EDGE PICKTepatitlan FC Under 1.5 goals · 78.3% · @1.23
Book 81% · Us 78%-3price too short
Backed by
Tepatitlan FC scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leones Negros UDEG conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Tepatitlan FC: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Tepatitlan FC's level
· main loses on: 0-0, 1-0, 0-1 | hedge wins on all of them
THE READ
Match details. Liga de Expansion MX. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Leones Negros UDEG have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W W. Tepatitlan FC have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D W.
The numbers. Leones Negros UDEG score two and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Leones Negros UDEG average 3.7 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Tepatitlan FC score 0.9 and concede 3.1 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and five games without a goal. Tepatitlan FC average 4.3 corners and 3.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 83% against the records' 60%.
The read. No firm call: Leones Negros UDEG are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Leones Negros UDEG the likelier winners; Leones Negros UDEG are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Leones Negros UDEG. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.11, 79% on the records (Leones Negros UDEG: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10; Tepatitlan FC: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10). Full cover: Tepatitlan FC Under 1.5 Goals at 1.23. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Leones Negros UDEG 2-1 Tepatitlan FC (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Leones Negros UDEG or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEO 10 of 10 (100%) · TEP 10 of 10 (100%)100%
Leones Negros UDEG: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Tepatitlan FC: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Tepatitlan FC's level · Tepatitlan FC: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level
Leones Negros UDEG or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.11
LEO 7 of 10 (70%) · TEP 9 of 10 (90%)80%
Leones Negros UDEG: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Tepatitlan FC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Tepatitlan FC's level · Tepatitlan FC: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEO 10 of 10 (100%) · TEP 10 of 10 (100%)94.1%
Leones Negros UDEG: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Tepatitlan FC: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Tepatitlan FC's level · Tepatitlan FC: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.39
LEO 6 of 10 (60%) · TEP 8 of 10 (80%)55.8%
Leones Negros UDEG: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Tepatitlan FC: over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Tepatitlan FC's level · Tepatitlan FC: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level
LEONES NEGROS UDEG GOALS
Leones Negros UDEG Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEO 9 of 10 (90%) · TEP 10 of 10 (100%)87.1%
Leones Negros UDEG scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Tepatitlan FC conceded in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Tepatitlan FC's level · Tepatitlan FC: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level
Leones Negros UDEG Over 1.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 84%
1.19
LEO 6 of 10 (60%) · TEP 7 of 10 (70%)60.6%
Leones Negros UDEG scored over 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Tepatitlan FC conceded over 1.5 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Tepatitlan FC's level · Tepatitlan FC: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level
TEPATITLAN FC GOALS
Tepatitlan FC Under 1.5 goalsFULL COVERIN CODES
1.23
LEO 8 of 10 (80%) · TEP 6 of 10 (60%)78.3%
Tepatitlan FC scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leones Negros UDEG conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Tepatitlan FC: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Tepatitlan FC's level
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.9%
Leones Negros UDEG goals →
Tepatitlan FC goals ↓
0-06%
1-011%
2-011%
3-08%
4-04%
5-02%
0-14%
1-110%
2-110%
3-17%
4-13%
5-11%
0-22%
1-24%
2-24%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.6%
0-30.6%
1-31%
2-31%
3-30.8%
4-30.4%
5-30.2%
0-40.1%
1-40.3%
2-40.3%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.0%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
LEONES NEGROS UDEGWLDWWLDWDW1.80 PPG
TEPATITLAN FCLLLDWLLLLW0.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
LEONES NEGROS UDEG HOMExTEPATITLAN FC AWAY
2.21SCORED A GAME0.711.36CONCEDED A GAME2.9380%BOTH SCORED50%10%CLEAN SHEETS0%3.71CORNERS A GAME4.292.57CARDS A GAME3.36
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.85POINTS A GAME0.31+0.62GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-2.54-3.1SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-10.02.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.213LEAGUE GAMES13
Leones Negros UDEG: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
LEONES NEGROS UDEG 2:0 HANDICAP
–
389 OF 413
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
95%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
67%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
69%
NO · 85/90
LEONES NEGROS UDEG OR DRAW
85%
OKAY · 80/85
TEPATITLAN FC OR DRAW
34%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 13 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
LEONES NEGROS UDEGxTEPATITLAN FC
5GAMES62.20SCORED A GAME0.332.20CONCEDED A GAME3.674.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.0100%OVER 1.5 GOALS83%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS83%100%BOTH SCORE33%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Leones Negros UDEG have scored in 90% of their games.
Tepatitlan FC have scored in 50% of their games.
Leones Negros UDEG kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Tepatitlan FC kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards