Match details. Ekstraklasa, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 20:30 Lagos time. It is played at Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie, Czestochowa. The referee is Szymon Marciniak.
What's at stake. Rakow Czestochowa are 18th on 6 points after 12 games, 2 points behind Radomiak Radom. A win would take them above Radomiak Radom. Pogon Szczecin are 4th on 24 points after 11 games, level on points with Legia Warszawa, 3 points clear of GKS Katowice. A win would take them above Legia Warszawa.
Form. Rakow Czestochowa have won two, drawn none and lost eight of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. In this competition Rakow Czestochowa have gone L W L L L W. Pogon Szczecin have won seven, drawn three and lost none of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition Pogon Szczecin have gone W W W W W D.
The numbers. Rakow Czestochowa score 1.6 and concede three a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Rakow Czestochowa average 16.1 shots (5.4 on target), 4.8 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. Pogon Szczecin score 1.9 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. Pogon Szczecin average 12.9 shots (4.5 on target), 3.1 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 43% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Rakow Czestochowa have won seven, drawn one and lost two. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Rakow Czestochowa won two and Pogon Szczecin won two. The last time they met, on 8 Mar 2026, it finished Rakow Czestochowa 2-0 Pogon Szczecin: Rakow Czestochowa had 23 shots to 5, 64% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. Pogon Szczecin are the form side, but the meetings favour Rakow Czestochowa: in the last ten meetings, Rakow Czestochowa won seven, Pogon Szczecin won two and one was drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%; eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The read. No side to back. A draw is live. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Rakow Czestochowa 1-1 Pogon Szczecin (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).