Match details. Liga MX, Apertura - 15. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 02:10 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Banorte, Mexico City, a neutral ground. The referee is Jesus Rafael Lopez Valle.
What's at stake. CF Cruz Azul are 4th on 26 points after 14 games, 1 point behind Atlas, 2 points clear of Toluca. A win would take them above Atlas. Club Leon are 7th on 22 points after 14 games, level on points with Club Tijuana, 1 point clear of Monterrey. A win would take them above Club Tijuana.
Form. CF Cruz Azul have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D D. In this competition CF Cruz Azul have gone W W W D D L. Club Leon have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D W. In this competition Club Leon have gone D W L D W D.
The numbers. CF Cruz Azul score 2.4 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CF Cruz Azul average 16.6 shots (6.6 on target), 5.5 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. Club Leon score 1.6 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Club Leon average 13.6 shots (5.5 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings CF Cruz Azul have won eight, drawn one and lost one. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, CF Cruz Azul won three and Club Leon won one. The last time they met, on 11 Jan 2026, it finished CF Cruz Azul 1-2 Club Leon: CF Cruz Azul had 20 shots to 8, 55% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%; seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Club Leon's record still gives them 27% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. CF Cruz Azul to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make CF Cruz Azul the likelier winners; CF Cruz Azul are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CF Cruz Azul; the meetings favour CF Cruz Azul. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: CF Cruz Azul or Draw at 1.21, 80% on the records (CF Cruz Azul unbeaten in 8 of 10; Club Leon failed to win 6 of 10). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.20. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (CF Cruz Azul are a clear winner, no Unders); Club Leon Under 1.5 goals (Club Leon's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); CF Cruz Azul Over 1.5 goals (Club Leon's own games don't back it (2 of 10)). Predicted score: CF Cruz Azul 2-1 Club Leon (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).