Match details. Liga MX, Apertura - 15. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 02:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, Ciudad Juarez. The referee is Marco Antonio Ortiz Nava.
What's at stake. FC Juarez are 18th on 5 points after 14 games, 5 points behind Necaxa. Queretaro FC are 9th on 20 points after 13 games, level on points with Monterrey, 1 point clear of Santos Laguna. A win would take them above Monterrey.
Form. FC Juarez have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D L. In this competition FC Juarez have gone D L L D L W. Queretaro FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W W. In this competition Queretaro FC have gone L L L W W D.
The numbers. FC Juarez score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. FC Juarez average 14.7 shots (4.7 on target), 7.3 corners and 4.3 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. Queretaro FC score 1.2 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Queretaro FC average 11.3 shots (3.3 on target), 4.3 corners and 3.3 cards a game, with 42% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings FC Juarez have won one, drawn four and lost five. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, FC Juarez won one, one was drawn and Queretaro FC won two. The last time they met, on 8 Apr 2026, it finished FC Juarez 1-1 Queretaro FC: FC Juarez had 15 shots to 17, 64% of the ball, four yellow cards.
The case against. FC Juarez's record still gives them 24% to win.
The read. Queretaro FC to win. A tight game. Queretaro FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Queretaro FC; the meetings favour Queretaro FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.37, 74% on the records (FC Juarez: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Queretaro FC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6 away). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Queretaro FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Queretaro FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: FC Juarez 0-1 Queretaro FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).