SFSDE

16:30Mon 26 Oct

MAC

Sderot FC vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

CLASS D

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. State Cup, Round of 64. Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Sderot FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L D. In this competition Sderot FC have gone W L. Maccabi Ahi Nazareth have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L L.

The numbers. Sderot FC score 1.9 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Maccabi Ahi Nazareth score 1.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Sderot FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Sderot FC or Both Teams Score (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Sderot FC 2-1 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SDE 9 of 10 (90%) · MAC 5 of 5 (100%)95.6%

Sderot FC: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Maccabi Ahi Nazareth: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95%

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.20

SDE 7 of 10 (70%) · MAC 4 of 5 (80%)70.4%

Sderot FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Maccabi Ahi Nazareth: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70%

Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.60

SDE 7 of 10 (70%) · MAC 4 of 5 (80%)64.1%

Sderot FC: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Maccabi Ahi Nazareth: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70%

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.55

SDE 6 of 10 (60%) · MAC 4 of 5 (80%)58.4%

Sderot FC: both scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Maccabi Ahi Nazareth: both scored in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 60%

SDEROT FC GOALS

Sderot FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SDE 8 of 10 (80%) · MAC 5 of 5 (100%)77.3%

Sderot FC scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Maccabi Ahi Nazareth conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%

MACCABI AHI NAZARETH GOALS

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SDE 4 of 5 (80%) · MAC 7 of 10 (70%)76.6%

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth scored in 4 of 5 away · Sderot FC conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.17

SDE 9 of 10 (90%) · MAC 4 of 5 (80%)83.3%

Sderot FC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Maccabi Ahi Nazareth: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.26

SDE 7 of 10 (70%) · MAC 4 of 5 (80%)76.7%

Sderot FC: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Maccabi Ahi Nazareth: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Sderot FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Sderot FC or Both Teams Score (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Sderot FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9%

Sderot FC goals →

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth goals ↓

0-04%

1-06%

2-06%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.6%

0-15%

1-111%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.8%

0-24%

1-28%

2-27%

3-24%

4-22%

5-20.6%

0-32%

1-34%

2-33%

3-32%

4-30.9%

5-30.3%

0-40.8%

1-41%

2-41%

3-40.7%

4-40.3%

5-40.1%

0-50.2%

1-50.4%

2-50.4%

3-50.2%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

SDEROT FCLWLWLDLWDW1.40 PPG

MACCABI AHI NAZARETHLWLDWLLWLD1.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SDEROT FC HOMExMACCABI AHI NAZARETH AWAY

1.90SCORED A GAME1.201.30CONCEDED A GAME1.7030%CLEAN SHEETS10%25%FAILED TO SCORE36%

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

DRAW OR MACCABI AHI NAZARETH (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

TRENDS

Sderot FC failed to score in 25% of their games.

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth failed to score in 36% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & against