HAHAP

16:00Mon 26 Oct

MST

Hapoel Acre FC vs MS Tira

CLASS D

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. State Cup, Round of 64. Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Hapoel Acre FC have won none, drawn one and lost nine of their last ten, 0.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L L. MS Tira have won seven, drawn three and lost none of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition MS Tira have gone W.

The numbers. Hapoel Acre FC score none and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and five games without a goal. MS Tira score 1.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 40% against the records' 73%.

The read. No firm call: MS Tira are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make MS Tira the likelier winners; MS Tira are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour MS Tira. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Hapoel Acre FC 0-1 MS Tira (16% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.14

HAP 5 of 5 (100%) · MST 4 of 5 (80%)89.8%

Hapoel Acre FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · MS Tira: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%

MS TIRA GOALS

MS Tira Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

HAP 4 of 5 (80%) · MST 4 of 5 (80%)79.1%

MS Tira scored in 4 of 5 away · Hapoel Acre FC conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90%

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 16.1%

Hapoel Acre FC goals →

MS Tira goals ↓

0-011%

1-06%

2-02%

3-00.5%

4-00.1%

5-00.0%

0-116%

1-112%

2-14%

3-10.8%

4-10.1%

5-10.0%

0-213%

1-29%

2-23%

3-20.6%

4-20.1%

5-20.0%

0-37%

1-35%

2-32%

3-30.3%

4-30.1%

5-30.0%

0-43%

1-42%

2-40.6%

3-40.1%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.9%

1-50.6%

2-50.2%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

HAPOEL ACRE FCLLLLLLLDLL0.10 PPG

MS TIRADWWDDWWWWW2.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

HAPOEL ACRE FC HOMExMS TIRA AWAY

0.00SCORED A GAME1.802.60CONCEDED A GAME0.7010%CLEAN SHEETS50%100%FAILED TO SCORE0%

TRENDS

Hapoel Acre FC failed to score in 100% of their games.

MS Tira failed to score in 0% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & against