FC Kafr Qasim vs Beitar Petah Tikva
Match details. State Cup, Round of 64. Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. FC Kafr Qasim have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W W. Beitar Petah Tikva have won one, drawn none and lost five of their last six, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L.
The numbers. FC Kafr Qasim score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. FC Kafr Qasim average 8.4 shots (3.6 on target), 3.6 corners and 3.8 cards a game. Beitar Petah Tikva score 0.7 and concede three a game over their last six, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal.
The case against. A knockout game (Round of 64) with penalties if level, and FC Kafr Qasim are not clearly stronger. Beitar Petah Tikva's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. FC Kafr Qasim or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC Kafr Qasim the likelier winners; FC Kafr Qasim are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Kafr Qasim. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FC Kafr Qasim or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); FC Kafr Qasim or Both Teams Score (the signs point different ways); FC Kafr Qasim Over 0.5 Goals (FC Kafr Qasim's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: FC Kafr Qasim 2-1 Beitar Petah Tikva (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).