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ISRAEL - STATE CUP
Beitar Naharia crestBNBEI
16:00Mon 26 Oct
HAPHapoel Afula FC crestHA

Beitar Naharia vs Hapoel Afula FC

CLASS D
THE READ

Match details. State Cup. Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.

Form. Beitar Naharia have won five, drawn one and lost three of their last nine, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L W. Hapoel Afula FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D W.

The numbers. Beitar Naharia score 1.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Beitar Naharia average 12.7 shots (6.7 on target), 5.0 corners and 3.3 cards a game. Hapoel Afula FC score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Hapoel Afula FC average 10.6 shots (4.4 on target), 1.8 corners and 4.8 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Beitar Naharia are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Hapoel Afula FC.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Beitar Naharia or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Hapoel Afula FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Beitar Naharia 1-2 Hapoel Afula FC (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BEI 5 of 5 (100%) · HAP 5 of 5 (100%)98.3%
Beitar Naharia: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Hapoel Afula FC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95%
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.20
BEI 5 of 5 (100%) · HAP 4 of 5 (80%)86.5%
Beitar Naharia: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Hapoel Afula FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 79%
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.60
BEI 2 of 5 (40%) · HAP 3 of 5 (60%)52.6%
Beitar Naharia: over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 at home · Hapoel Afula FC: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 58%
BEITAR NAHARIA GOALS
Beitar Naharia Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BEI 4 of 5 (80%) · HAP 3 of 5 (60%)73.1%
Beitar Naharia scored in 4 of 5 at home · Hapoel Afula FC conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 79%
Left off the list: Beitar Naharia or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Hapoel Afula FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Beitar Naharia or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Hapoel Afula FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–2 9%
Beitar Naharia goals →
Hapoel Afula FC goals ↓
0-06%
1-06%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.8%
5-00.2%
0-17%
1-112%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-29%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-34%
1-35%
2-33%
3-32%
4-30.5%
5-30.2%
0-41%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.6%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.5%
1-50.7%
2-50.5%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
BEITAR NAHARIALWWWWLDWL1.78 PPG
HAPOEL AFULA FCWWLLDWDWDL1.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
BEITAR NAHARIA HOMExHAPOEL AFULA FC AWAY
1.67SCORED A GAME1.601.56CONCEDED A GAME1.5044%CLEAN SHEETS30%5.00CORNERS A GAME1.803.33CARDS A GAME4.80
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
TRENDS
Beitar Naharia have scored in 89% of their games.
Hapoel Afula FC have scored in 70% of their games.
Beitar Naharia kept a clean sheet in 44% of their games.
Hapoel Afula FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards
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