Negelle Arsi vs Adama City FC
Match details. Premier League. Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. Negelle Arsi have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L W. Adama City FC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W L.
The numbers. Negelle Arsi score 0.9 and concede one a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and five games without a goal. Negelle Arsi average 7.1 shots (2.1 on target), 3.8 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Adama City FC score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Adama City FC average 8.0 shots (3.0 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Negelle Arsi or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Adama City FC or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Negelle Arsi 1-1 Adama City FC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).