Match details. National Womens Soccer League. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 23:00 Lagos time.
Form. Washington Spirit have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L W. Chicago Red Stars have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L.
The numbers. Washington Spirit score 0.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Washington Spirit average 4.9 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Chicago Red Stars score 0.8 and concede 3.5 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Chicago Red Stars average 3.1 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 92% against the records' 62%.
The read. No firm call: Washington Spirit are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Washington Spirit the likelier winners; Washington Spirit are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Washington Spirit. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Washington Spirit Over 0.5 Goals (Washington Spirit's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (Washington Spirit are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Washington Spirit are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Washington Spirit 2-1 Chicago Red Stars (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).