CCCAR

20:00Wed 28 Oct

SSA

Carrarese Calcio vs SS Arezzo

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. Serie B, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara.

What's at stake. Carrarese Calcio are 17th on 7 points after 8 games, level on points with Empoli, 1 point clear of Cremonese. A win would take them above Empoli. SS Arezzo are 10th on 10 points after 8 games, level on points with Padova, 1 point clear of Hellas Verona. A win would take them above Padova.

Form. Carrarese Calcio have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L. SS Arezzo have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L W.

The numbers. Carrarese Calcio score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Carrarese Calcio average 9.2 shots (3.0 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 42% of the ball. SS Arezzo score one and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. SS Arezzo average 9.9 shots (3.0 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings Carrarese Calcio have won two, drawn three and lost four. Seven of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Carrarese Calcio won two, one was drawn and SS Arezzo won one. The last time they met, on 14 Jan 2024, it finished Carrarese Calcio 2-3 SS Arezzo.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%; seven of the last nine meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.

The case against. SS Arezzo's record still gives them 49% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.

The read. Carrarese Calcio to win. An open game. Both teams' records favour SS Arezzo. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%. Seven of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 3.5 Cards (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (Carrarese Calcio are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Carrarese Calcio are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Carrarese Calcio 2-1 SS Arezzo (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

CARRARESE CALCIO GOALS

Carrarese Calcio Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.25

CAR 6 of 9 (67%) · SSA 5 of 7 (71%)76%

Carrarese Calcio scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · SS Arezzo conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 5 of 6 · Carrarese Calcio: only games against sides at SS Arezzo's level · SS Arezzo: only games against sides at Carrarese Calcio's level

SS AREZZO GOALS

SS Arezzo Under 1.5 goalsPAGE ONLY

1.39

CAR 5 of 7 (71%) · SSA 6 of 9 (67%)72%

SS Arezzo scored under 1.5 in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Carrarese Calcio conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 3 of 6 · SS Arezzo: only games against sides at Carrarese Calcio's level · Carrarese Calcio: only games against sides at SS Arezzo's level

HALVES

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.18

CAR 9 of 9 (100%) · SSA 6 of 7 (86%)86.3%

Carrarese Calcio: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · SS Arezzo: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Carrarese Calcio: only games against sides at SS Arezzo's level · SS Arezzo: only games against sides at Carrarese Calcio's level

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.39

CAR 9 of 9 (100%) · SSA 6 of 7 (86%)82.1%

Carrarese Calcio: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · SS Arezzo: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores · Carrarese Calcio: only games against sides at SS Arezzo's level · SS Arezzo: only games against sides at Carrarese Calcio's level

Left off the list: Over 3.5 Cards (the numbers (49%) and the records (76%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (Carrarese Calcio are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Carrarese Calcio are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.1%

Carrarese Calcio goals →

SS Arezzo goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.7%

2-40.5%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

CARRARESE CALCIOLWWLLLDLLL0.70 PPG

SS AREZZOLWDLWLLWLW1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CARRARESE CALCIO HOMExSS AREZZO AWAY

0.88SCORED A GAME1.001.12CONCEDED A GAME2.1210%CLEAN SHEETS30%38%FAILED TO SCORE38%4.75CORNERS A GAME4.252.20CARDS A GAME1.671.19xG1.001.36xG AGAINST1.62

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.88POINTS A GAME0.67-0.25GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.83+0.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-3.71.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.88LEAGUE GAMES6

Carrarese Calcio: the quality side - a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

70%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

62%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

86%

OKAY · 85/90

CARRARESE CALCIO OR DRAW

40%

NO · 80/85

SS AREZZO OR DRAW

65%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CARRARESE CALCIOxSS AREZZO

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME0.601.00CONCEDED A GAME2.602.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.260%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%40%BOTH SCORE40%4.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.69.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9

CARRARESE CALCIO 2 · 22%DRAW 3SS AREZZO 4 · 44%

7 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED

8 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS

7 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS

5 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS

2016-09-04Carrarese Calcio 1 – 3 SS Arezzo

2016-12-30Carrarese Calcio 1 – 2 SS Arezzo

2017-12-17Carrarese Calcio 1 – 1 SS Arezzo

2018-05-05Carrarese Calcio 0 – 1 SS Arezzo

2018-11-19Carrarese Calcio 2 – 2 SS Arezzo

2019-03-16Carrarese Calcio 3 – 0 SS Arezzo

2019-11-17Carrarese Calcio 2 – 2 SS Arezzo

2023-09-09Carrarese Calcio 3 – 1 SS Arezzo

TRENDS

Carrarese Calcio have scored in 60% of their games.

SS Arezzo have scored in 60% of their games.

Carrarese Calcio kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

SS Arezzo kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards