Match details. LigaPro Primera A. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 21:30 Lagos time.
Form. Mushuc Runa SC have won one, drawn six and lost three of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D L. Manta FC have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W D.
The numbers. Mushuc Runa SC score 0.7 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. Mushuc Runa SC average 5.1 corners and 2.5 cards a game. Manta FC score 1.1 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Manta FC average 4.2 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
The case against. Manta FC's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. Mushuc Runa SC or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Mushuc Runa SC the likelier winners. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Mushuc Runa SC 1-1 Manta FC (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).