Match details. LigaPro Primera A, Placement Group - 5. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 22:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Christian Benitez, Guayaquil. The referee is Juan Carlos Andrade Arreaga.
What's at stake. Guayaquil City FC are 9th on 46 points after 34 games, level on points with Leones del Norte, 4 points clear of Emelec. A win would take them above Leones del Norte. Libertad Loja are 7th on 50 points after 34 games, 4 points clear of Leones del Norte. Guayaquil City FC have nothing left to play for.
Form. Guayaquil City FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D W. In this competition Guayaquil City FC have gone W L W D W L. Libertad Loja have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W L. In this competition Libertad Loja have gone L W W W L W.
The numbers. Guayaquil City FC score 2.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Guayaquil City FC average 10.1 shots (3.5 on target), 2.8 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. Libertad Loja score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Libertad Loja average 14.5 shots (5.8 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last five meetings Guayaquil City FC have won one, drawn two and lost two. Two of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Guayaquil City FC won one, one was drawn and Libertad Loja won two. The last time they met, on 17 Oct 2026, it finished Guayaquil City FC 0-4 Libertad Loja: Guayaquil City FC had 11 shots to 21, 53% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%; three of the last five meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Guayaquil City FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Libertad Loja or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Double Chance: Guayaquil City FC or Libertad Loja (no result call). Predicted score: Guayaquil City FC 1-1 Libertad Loja (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).