CSD Independiente del Valle vs LDU Quito

Match details. LigaPro Primera A, Championship Group - 5. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 19:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Banco De Guayaquil, Quito. The referee is Oswaldo Contreras.

What's at stake. CSD Independiente del Valle are 1st on 78 points after 33 games, 15 points clear of Macara. LDU Quito are 4th on 53 points after 34 games, level on points with Universidad Catolica, 2 points clear of Aucas. A win would take them above Universidad Catolica.

Form. CSD Independiente del Valle have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W W. In this competition CSD Independiente del Valle have gone D L W W W L. LDU Quito have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W D. In this competition LDU Quito have gone L D W W D W.

The numbers. CSD Independiente del Valle score two and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. CSD Independiente del Valle average 15.0 shots (6.0 on target), 6.0 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. LDU Quito score 1.4 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. LDU Quito average 15.2 shots (4.1 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 60% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings CSD Independiente del Valle have won two, drawn four and lost four. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, CSD Independiente del Valle won one, one was drawn and LDU Quito won two. The last time they met, on 8 Aug 2026, it finished CSD Independiente del Valle 2-0 LDU Quito: CSD Independiente del Valle had 9 shots to 14, 42% of the ball, one yellow card.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 57% against the records' 34%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%; seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.

The read. No firm call: CSD Independiente del Valle are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CSD Independiente del Valle the likelier winners; CSD Independiente del Valle are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CSD Independiente del Valle or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CSD Independiente del Valle or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CSD Independiente del Valle 1-1 LDU Quito (13% chance).