Match details. LigaPro Primera A, Championship Group - 5. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Olimpico Atahualpa, Quito. The referee is Russell Macario Teran Leon.
What's at stake. CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador are 3rd on 53 points after 34 games, 10 points behind Macara, level on points with LDU de Quito. SD Aucas are 5th on 51 points after 34 games, 2 points behind LDU de Quito, 3 points clear of Barcelona SC. A win would take them above LDU de Quito.
Form. CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L W. In this competition CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador have gone D D L L W W. SD Aucas have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L D. In this competition SD Aucas have gone L D L L D D.
The numbers. CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador score 1.4 and concede one a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador average 13.8 shots (3.6 on target), 3.9 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. SD Aucas score 0.7 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. SD Aucas average 10.6 shots (3.0 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador have won two, drawn three and lost four. Eight of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in nine. In the last four, CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador won one, one was drawn and SD Aucas won two. The last time they met, on 3 Sep 2026, it finished CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador 1-1 SD Aucas: CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador had 8 shots to 8, 61% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%; eight of the last nine meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. SD Aucas's record still gives them 23% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.
The read. CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador the likelier winners; CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador are the stronger side on form and the table. Eight of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador or Draw at 1.22, 78% on the records (CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador unbeaten in 8 of 10; SD Aucas failed to win 8 of 10). Backup: CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Over 0.5 Goals at 1.20. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador are a clear winner, no Unders); CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador or draw and under 3.5 goals (CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador 2-1 SD Aucas (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).