SC Pisa vs Palermo FC
Match details. Serie B, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Arena Garibaldi, Pizza.
What's at stake. SC Pisa are 6th on 14 points after 8 games, level on points with Benevento, 1 point clear of Sudtirol. A win would take them above Benevento. Palermo FC are 1st on 22 points after 8 games, 5 points clear of Mantova.
Form. SC Pisa have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D L. Palermo FC have won nine, drawn one and lost none of their last ten, 2.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D.
The numbers. SC Pisa score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. SC Pisa average 13.1 shots (5.5 on target), 6.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. Palermo FC score 2.5 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Palermo FC average 14.6 shots (6.4 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last six meetings SC Pisa have won three, drawn two and lost one. Four of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, SC Pisa won three and Palermo FC won one. The last time they met, on 31 Jan 2025, it finished SC Pisa 2-1 Palermo FC: SC Pisa had 7 shots to 11, 42% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. Palermo FC are the form side, but the meetings favour SC Pisa: in the last six meetings, SC Pisa won three, Palermo FC won one and two were drawn.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%. Four of the last six meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.22, 78% on the records (SC Pisa: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8; Palermo FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.20. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: SC Pisa or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Palermo FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: SC Pisa 1-2 Palermo FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).