Santiago FC vs Real Refineros Cds
Match details. Liga Premier Serie A, Apertura - 9. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 03:05 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Santiago FC are 6th on 14 points after 8 games, level on points with Halcones Negros. A win would take them above Halcones Negros. Real Refineros Cds are 8th on 9 points after 8 games, 3 points clear of Real Apodaca.
Form. Santiago FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L W. Real Refineros Cds have won one, drawn four and lost three of their last eight, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D D.
The numbers. Santiago FC score 2.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Santiago FC average 7.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Real Refineros Cds score 1.8 and concede two a game over their last eight, with two clean sheets. Real Refineros Cds average 10.2 shots (6.5 on target), 6.0 corners and 3.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 88% against the records' 45%.
The read. No firm call: Santiago FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Santiago FC the likelier winners; Santiago FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Santiago FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 79%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Santiago FC 2-1 Real Refineros Cds (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).