Villarreal vs Getafe
Match details. LaLiga, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 18:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal.
What's at stake. Villarreal are 9th on 12 points after 11 games, 2 points behind Deportivo La Coruna, level on points with Celta Vigo. A win would take them above Deportivo La Coruna. Getafe are 13th on 12 points after 11 games, level on points with Rayo Vallecano, 1 point clear of Espanyol. A win would take them above Rayo Vallecano.
Form. Villarreal have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W L. Getafe have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L.
The numbers. Villarreal score 1.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Villarreal average 17.0 shots (5.5 on target), 7.3 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 61% of the ball. Getafe score 0.8 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Getafe average 10.9 shots (3.2 on target), 4.0 corners and 4.9 cards a game, with 34% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Villarreal have won five, drawn four and lost one. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Villarreal won two, one was drawn and Getafe won one. The last time they met, on 14 Feb 2026, it finished Villarreal 1-2 Getafe: Villarreal had 8 shots to 5, 56% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 68% against the records' 46%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game.
The read. No firm call: Villarreal are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Villarreal the likelier winners; Villarreal are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Villarreal; the meetings favour Villarreal. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.41, 72% on the records (Villarreal: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6; Getafe: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6). The safer one: Getafe Under 1.5 Goals at 1.18 (76%). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Villarreal 1-1 Getafe (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).