Espanyol vs RC Deportivo de A Coruna
Match details. LaLiga, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:15 Lagos time. It is played at RCDE Stadium, Cornella.
What's at stake. Espanyol are 14th on 11 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Getafe, level on points with Osasuna. A win would take them above Getafe. RC Deportivo de A Coruna are 8th on 14 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Athletic Club, 2 points clear of Villarreal. A win would take them above Athletic Club.
Form. Espanyol have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D L. In this competition Espanyol have gone W L L D L L. RC Deportivo de A Coruna have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L D. In this competition RC Deportivo de A Coruna have gone W L D L D L.
The numbers. Espanyol score one and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Espanyol average 11.9 shots (3.1 on target), 3.1 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 45% of the ball. RC Deportivo de A Coruna score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. RC Deportivo de A Coruna average 14.1 shots (5.0 on target), 6.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Espanyol have won four, drawn four and lost two. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Espanyol won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 23 Feb 2018, it finished Espanyol 0-0 RC Deportivo de A Coruna: Espanyol had 9 shots to 18, 49% of the ball, six yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. RC Deportivo de A Coruna are the form side, but the meetings favour Espanyol: in the last ten meetings, Espanyol won four, RC Deportivo de A Coruna won two and four were drawn.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.32, 74% on the records (Espanyol: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10; RC Deportivo de A Coruna: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 4.5 cards (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Espanyol 1-1 RC Deportivo de A Coruna (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).