FBC Melgar vs Comerciantes Unidos
Match details. Liga 1, Clausura - 14. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 01:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Monumental de la UNSA, Arequipa. The referee is Rudy Mendez.
What's at stake. FBC Melgar are 5th on 25 points after 13 games, level on points with Deportivo Garcilaso, level on points with Juan Pablo II College. A win would take them above Deportivo Garcilaso. Comerciantes Unidos are 13th on 13 points after 13 games, 4 points behind Cienciano, 1 point clear of Club Deportivo Los Chankas.
Form. FBC Melgar have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D W. In this competition FBC Melgar have gone W W D D W W. Comerciantes Unidos have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L L. In this competition Comerciantes Unidos have gone W L D L L D.
The numbers. FBC Melgar score 2.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. FBC Melgar average 18.1 shots (7.2 on target), 5.4 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. Comerciantes Unidos score 1.6 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Comerciantes Unidos average 15.6 shots (6.0 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings FBC Melgar have won three, drawn seven and lost none. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in eight. In the last four, FBC Melgar won one and three were drawn. The last time they met, on 10 May 2026, it finished FBC Melgar 1-1 Comerciantes Unidos: FBC Melgar had 12 shots to 17, 52% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 70% against the records' 46%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No firm call: FBC Melgar are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make FBC Melgar the likelier winners; FBC Melgar are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FBC Melgar.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Comerciantes Unidos Under 1.5 goals (Comerciantes Unidos's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: FBC Melgar 1-1 Comerciantes Unidos (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).