Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso
Match details. Liga 1, Clausura - 14. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 21:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Campeones del 36, Sullana.
What's at stake. Alianza Atletico are 8th on 22 points after 13 games, level on points with Juan Pablo II College, 1 point clear of Cusco. A win would take them above Juan Pablo II College. Deportivo Garcilaso are 3rd on 25 points after 13 games, 2 points behind Universitario, level on points with Sporting Cristal. A win would take them above Universitario.
Form. Alianza Atletico have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W W. Deportivo Garcilaso have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W L.
The numbers. Alianza Atletico score two and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Alianza Atletico average 18.4 shots (5.8 on target), 3.9 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Deportivo Garcilaso score 2.1 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Deportivo Garcilaso average 18.4 shots (7.6 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Alianza Atletico have won six, drawn none and lost two. Four of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Alianza Atletico won three and Deportivo Garcilaso won one. The last time they met, on 11 May 2026, it finished Alianza Atletico 1-2 Deportivo Garcilaso: Alianza Atletico had 13 shots to 14, 44% of the ball, four yellow cards.
The case against. Alianza Atletico's record still gives them 54% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. Deportivo Garcilaso or the draw. An open game. Both teams' records favour Alianza Atletico; the meetings favour Alianza Atletico. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.25, 79% on the records (Alianza Atletico: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 7; Deportivo Garcilaso: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 10). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.21. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Alianza Atletico 1-2 Deportivo Garcilaso (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).