Match details. Liga de Ascenso, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 02:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC are 4th on 20 points after 12 games, 7 points behind Santa Ana, 1 point clear of Quepos Cambute. AD Carmelita are 10th on 16 points after 12 games, 1 point behind AD Sarchí, level on points with Futbol Consultants Moravia. A win would take them above AD Sarchí.
Form. Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D L. AD Carmelita have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W W.
The numbers. Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC score 1.7 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC average 3.6 corners and 2.1 cards a game. AD Carmelita score 1.6 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. AD Carmelita average 5.1 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last five meetings Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC have won two, drawn one and lost two. Two of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC won two, one was drawn and AD Carmelita won one. The last time they met, on 7 Sep 2026, it finished Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC 2-1 AD Carmelita.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%; three of the last five meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC 1-1 AD Carmelita (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).