Lexington SC vs Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC
Match details. USL Championship. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 20:00 Lagos time.
Form. Lexington SC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W W. Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D D.
The numbers. Lexington SC score 2.7 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Lexington SC average 5.4 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC score 1.5 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets. Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC average 5.9 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
The case against. Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC's record still gives them 44% to win.
The read. Lexington SC or the draw. An open game. Lexington SC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.21, 76% on the records (Lexington SC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10; Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC: over 1.5 goals in 2 of 5 away). Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC Under 1.5 goals (Lexington SC's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Lexington SC Over 0.5 goals (Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Lexington SC 2-1 Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).