Match details. Primera Nacional. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Atletico de Rafaela have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L L. CA Patronato Parana have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L W.
The numbers. Atletico de Rafaela score 1.1 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Atletico de Rafaela average 4.3 corners and 2.9 cards a game. CA Patronato Parana score 0.8 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and six games without a goal. CA Patronato Parana average 4.6 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 30%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.12, 76% on the records (Atletico de Rafaela: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10; CA Patronato Parana: under 3.5 goals in 10 of 10). Leave: Atletico de Rafaela or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); CA Patronato Parana or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Atletico de Rafaela 1-1 CA Patronato Parana (14% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 9 of 10 (90%) · CAP 10 of 10 (100%)97.5%
Atletico de Rafaela: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CA Patronato Parana: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Atletico de Rafaela: only games against sides at CA Patronato Parana's level · CA Patronato Parana: only games against sides at Atletico de Rafaela's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.12
ATL 7 of 10 (70%) · CAP 10 of 10 (100%)85.2%
Atletico de Rafaela: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CA Patronato Parana: under 3.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Atletico de Rafaela: only games against sides at CA Patronato Parana's level · CA Patronato Parana: only games against sides at Atletico de Rafaela's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.39
ATL 5 of 10 (50%) · CAP 9 of 10 (90%)71.9%
Atletico de Rafaela: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CA Patronato Parana: under 2.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Atletico de Rafaela: only games against sides at CA Patronato Parana's level · CA Patronato Parana: only games against sides at Atletico de Rafaela's level
Left off the list: Atletico de Rafaela or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); CA Patronato Parana or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–113.5%
Atletico de Rafaela goals →
CA Patronato Parana goals ↓
0-09%
1-011%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
ATLETICO DE RAFAELADWLLLWLLWD1.10 PPG
CA PATRONATO PARANALLWLWDDDLW1.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ATLETICO DE RAFAELA HOMExCA PATRONATO PARANA AWAY
0.83SCORED A GAME0.831.00CONCEDED A GAME1.0020%CLEAN SHEETS50%4.29CORNERS A GAME4.582.86CARDS A GAME2.58
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.29POINTS A GAME1.22-0.29GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.22-0.1SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.90.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.214LEAGUE GAMES9
CA Patronato Parana: the quality side - more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
42%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
18%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
96%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
ATLETICO DE RAFAELA OR DRAW
90%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
CA PATRONATO PARANA OR DRAW
30%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (14 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
ATLETICO DE RAFAELAxCA PATRONATO PARANA
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME1.001.80CONCEDED A GAME0.802.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.860%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%40%BOTH SCORE0%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES6.8–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.8
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Atletico de Rafaela have scored in 60% of their games.
CA Patronato Parana have scored in 40% of their games.
Atletico de Rafaela kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
CA Patronato Parana kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards