Stade Lavallois MFC vs US Boulogne
Match details. Ligue 2. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time.
Form. Stade Lavallois MFC have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D L. US Boulogne have won one, drawn six and lost three of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D D.
The numbers. Stade Lavallois MFC score 1.4 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Stade Lavallois MFC average 5.7 corners and 2.3 cards a game. US Boulogne score 0.7 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. US Boulogne average 10.9 shots (5.0 on target), 4.3 corners and 3.3 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: US Boulogne or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); US Boulogne or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Stade Lavallois MFC Over 0.5 goals (US Boulogne's own games don't back it (3 of 6)). Predicted score: Stade Lavallois MFC 1-1 US Boulogne (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).