America de Cali vs Fortaleza FC
Fortaleza FC scored in 3 of 5 away · America de Cali conceded in 4 of 6 at home · both last 10: 80% · H2H 3 of 5 · Fortaleza FC: only games against sides at America de Cali's level · America de Cali: only games against sides at Fortaleza FC's level
Match details. Liga DIMAYOR, Clausura - 5. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 00:30 Lagos time. It is played at Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Cali.
What's at stake. America de Cali are 2nd on 31 points after 15 games, 1 point behind Atletico Nacional, 1 point clear of Deportivo Cali. A win would take them above Atletico Nacional. Fortaleza FC are 19th on 12 points after 15 games, 1 point behind Jaguares, level on points with Deportivo Pasto. A win would take them above Jaguares.
Form. America de Cali have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W W. In this competition America de Cali have gone W D L W W D. Fortaleza FC have won none, drawn seven and lost three of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D D D. In this competition Fortaleza FC have gone D L D D D L.
The numbers. America de Cali score two and concede one a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. America de Cali average 12.9 shots (4.2 on target), 4.9 corners and 3.2 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. Fortaleza FC score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Fortaleza FC average 14.1 shots (3.8 on target), 4.5 corners and 3.6 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 23 Apr 2026, it finished America de Cali 2-1 Fortaleza FC: America de Cali had 11 shots to 16, 38% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 73% against the records' 42%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%; four of the last five meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The read. No firm call: America de Cali are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make America de Cali the likelier winners; America de Cali are the stronger side on form and the table. Four of the last five meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: America de Cali or Draw at 1.10, 91% on the records (a proven pattern for games read like this one (team or draw)). Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: America de Cali 1-0 Fortaleza FC (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).