Match details. Brasileiro Serie A. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 00:00 Lagos time.
Form. EC Vitoria BA have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L W. Fluminense FC RJ have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L.
The numbers. EC Vitoria BA score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. EC Vitoria BA average 4.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Fluminense FC RJ score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. Fluminense FC RJ average 5.4 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 71%.
The case against. Fluminense FC RJ's record still gives them 44% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 71%.
The read. EC Vitoria BA or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.28, 72% on the records (EC Vitoria BA: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 9; Fluminense FC RJ: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 7). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: EC Vitoria BA 1-1 Fluminense FC RJ (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
EC Vitoria BA or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.35
ECV 3 of 5 (60%) · FLU 6 of 9 (67%)66%
EC Vitoria BA scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Fluminense FC RJ trailed or failed to win in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · EC Vitoria BA: only games against sides at Fluminense FC RJ's level · Fluminense FC RJ: only games against sides at EC Vitoria BA's level
EC Vitoria BA 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
1.83
ECV 2 of 5 (40%) · FLU 5 of 9 (56%)55.7%
EC Vitoria BA scored first 2 of last 5, led in 2 · led in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Fluminense FC RJ trailed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · EC Vitoria BA: only games against sides at Fluminense FC RJ's level · Fluminense FC RJ: only games against sides at EC Vitoria BA's level
EC Vitoria BA or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 77%
1.30
ECV 5 of 9 (56%) · FLU 4 of 7 (57%)53.1%
EC Vitoria BA: the bet landed in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Fluminense FC RJ: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 56% · EC Vitoria BA: only games against sides at Fluminense FC RJ's level · Fluminense FC RJ: only games against sides at EC Vitoria BA's level
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsBACKUPIN CODES
1.09
ECV 9 of 9 (100%) · FLU 7 of 7 (100%)88.4%
EC Vitoria BA: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Fluminense FC RJ: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · EC Vitoria BA: only games against sides at Fluminense FC RJ's level · Fluminense FC RJ: only games against sides at EC Vitoria BA's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.28
ECV 6 of 9 (67%) · FLU 4 of 7 (57%)76%
EC Vitoria BA: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Fluminense FC RJ: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · EC Vitoria BA: only games against sides at Fluminense FC RJ's level · Fluminense FC RJ: only games against sides at EC Vitoria BA's level
EC VITORIA BA GOALS
EC Vitoria BA Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.37
ECV 8 of 9 (89%) · FLU 6 of 7 (86%)73.6%
EC Vitoria BA scored in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Fluminense FC RJ conceded in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · EC Vitoria BA: only games against sides at Fluminense FC RJ's level · Fluminense FC RJ: only games against sides at EC Vitoria BA's level
FLUMINENSE FC RJ GOALS
Fluminense FC RJ Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.26
ECV 6 of 7 (86%) · FLU 7 of 9 (78%)59.8%
Fluminense FC RJ scored in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · EC Vitoria BA conceded in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · Fluminense FC RJ: only games against sides at EC Vitoria BA's level · EC Vitoria BA: only games against sides at Fluminense FC RJ's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–112.9%
EC Vitoria BA goals →
Fluminense FC RJ goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21.0%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.6%
1-40.9%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
EC VITORIA BALDDLWLDWLL0.90 PPG
FLUMINENSE FC RJWLWLLLWWLL1.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
EC VITORIA BA HOMExFLUMINENSE FC RJ AWAY
1.06SCORED A GAME1.581.45CONCEDED A GAME1.2720%CLEAN SHEETS20%4.30CORNERS A GAME5.392.33CARDS A GAME2.52
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.00POINTS A GAME1.33-0.20GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.25+1.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.31.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.210LEAGUE GAMES12
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
77%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
46%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
97%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
EC VITORIA BA OR DRAW
75%
NO · 80/85
FLUMINENSE FC RJ OR DRAW
60%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
EC VITORIA BAxFLUMINENSE FC RJ
5GAMES71.40SCORED A GAME1.431.20CONCEDED A GAME1.712.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.180%OVER 1.5 GOALS86%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS57%40%BOTH SCORE86%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.0–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
EC Vitoria BA have scored in 80% of their games.
Fluminense FC RJ have scored in 90% of their games.
EC Vitoria BA kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Fluminense FC RJ kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards