Cruzeiro EC MG vs EC Bahia BA
Match details. Brasileiro Serie A, Regular Season - 34. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 01:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais. The referee is R. Klein.
What's at stake. Cruzeiro EC MG are 3rd on 57 points after 33 games, 13 points behind Palmeiras, 3 points clear of Fluminense. EC Bahia BA are 6th on 53 points after 33 games, 1 point behind Atletico Paranaense, 3 points clear of Atletico-MG. A win would take them above Atletico Paranaense.
Team news. Cruzeiro EC MG are without Felipe Morais (muscle injury), Gabriel Pec (broken leg), Matheus Pereira (yellow cards), L. Sinisterra (muscle injury), L. Villalba (yellow cards), William Furtado (yellow cards). Matheus Pereira is their main creator. EC Bahia BA are without Leo Vieira (knee injury), Leo Vieira (knee injury).
Form. Cruzeiro EC MG have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W. In this competition Cruzeiro EC MG have gone W W W L W W. EC Bahia BA have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W L. In this competition EC Bahia BA have gone W D L W L L.
The numbers. Cruzeiro EC MG score two and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Cruzeiro EC MG average 16.2 shots (6.6 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. EC Bahia BA score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. EC Bahia BA average 12.8 shots (3.6 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Cruzeiro EC MG have won five, drawn three and lost two. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Cruzeiro EC MG won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 10 May 2026, it finished Cruzeiro EC MG 2-1 EC Bahia BA: Cruzeiro EC MG had 20 shots to 8, 54% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
The case against. Cruzeiro EC MG without Matheus Pereira (creator). EC Bahia BA's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. Cruzeiro EC MG or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Cruzeiro EC MG the likelier winners; Cruzeiro EC MG are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Cruzeiro EC MG; the meetings favour Cruzeiro EC MG. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Cruzeiro EC MG 2-1 EC Bahia BA (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).