Sao Paulo FC SP vs SC Corinthians SP

Match details. Brasileiro Serie A, Regular Season - 34. Kick-off is Thu 5 Nov, 01:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi), São Paulo, São Paulo. The referee is R. Claus.

What's at stake. Sao Paulo FC SP are 10th on 43 points after 33 games, 4 points behind Santos, 1 point clear of Coritiba. SC Corinthians SP are 18th on 36 points after 33 games, 1 point behind Gremio, 7 points clear of Remo. A win would take them above Gremio.

Team news. Sao Paulo FC SP are without Artur (back injury), N. Bosshardt (knee injury), Buta (knee injury), D. Duarte (knee injury), Marcos Antonio (ankle injury), Sabino (yellow cards). Sabino is their centre-back. SC Corinthians SP are without M. Depay (inactive), Gabriel Paulista (inactive), Kayke (knee injury), Z. Labyad (knee injury), Matheuzinho (yellow cards), Raniele (inactive). Gabriel Paulista is their centre-back.

Form. Sao Paulo FC SP have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W L. In this competition Sao Paulo FC SP have gone L D W W L L. SC Corinthians SP have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L L. In this competition SC Corinthians SP have gone W L D L L L.

The numbers. Sao Paulo FC SP score 1.5 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. Sao Paulo FC SP average 13.8 shots (3.9 on target), 7.2 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. SC Corinthians SP score 1.2 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. SC Corinthians SP average 17.6 shots (5.2 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Sao Paulo FC SP have won six, drawn two and lost two. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in eight. In the last four, Sao Paulo FC SP won one, one was drawn and SC Corinthians SP won two. The last time they met, on 10 May 2026, it finished Sao Paulo FC SP 2-3 SC Corinthians SP: Sao Paulo FC SP had 7 shots to 15, 50% of the ball, eight yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 37% against the records' 75%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%; seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.

The read. No firm call: Sao Paulo FC SP are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Sao Paulo FC SP the likelier winners; Sao Paulo FC SP are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Sao Paulo FC SP. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: SC Corinthians SP Over 0.5 goals (Sao Paulo FC SP's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (Sao Paulo FC SP are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Sao Paulo FC SP are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Sao Paulo FC SP 2-1 SC Corinthians SP (9% chance).