Botafogo FR RJ vs Atletico Mineiro MG
Match details. Brasileiro Serie A, Regular Season - 34. Kick-off is Thu 5 Nov, 01:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro. The referee is L. Casagrande.
What's at stake. Botafogo FR RJ are 13th on 39 points after 33 games, 1 point behind Mirassol, 1 point clear of Vasco DA Gama. A win would take them above Mirassol. Atletico Mineiro MG are 7th on 50 points after 33 games, 3 points behind Bahia, 3 points clear of RB Bragantino. A win would take them level on points with Bahia.
Team news. Botafogo FR RJ are without J. Barrera (ankle injury), Danilo Santos (injury), Kaio Pantaleao (knee injury), Arthur Chaves (inactive), J. Barrera (ankle injury), Danilo Santos (injury). Danilo Santos is their top scorer. Atletico Mineiro MG are without T. Borbas (muscle injury), M. Cassierra (muscle injury), Fred (muscle injury), Reinier (injury), Ruan Tressoldi (muscle injury), T. Borbas (muscle injury).
Form. Botafogo FR RJ have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D L. In this competition Botafogo FR RJ have gone L L W D L L. Atletico Mineiro MG have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W D. In this competition Atletico Mineiro MG have gone L L W W D W.
The numbers. Botafogo FR RJ score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Botafogo FR RJ average 14.5 shots (5.2 on target), 5.6 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. Atletico Mineiro MG score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Atletico Mineiro MG average 16.1 shots (6.4 on target), 6.5 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Botafogo FR RJ have won five, drawn two and lost three. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Botafogo FR RJ won two, one was drawn and Atletico Mineiro MG won one. The last time they met, on 10 May 2026, it finished Botafogo FR RJ 1-1 Atletico Mineiro MG: Botafogo FR RJ had 18 shots to 17, 56% of the ball, two yellow cards.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.50, 76% on the records (Botafogo FR RJ: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Atletico Mineiro MG: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.19. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Botafogo FR RJ 1-1 Atletico Mineiro MG (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).