CR Flamengo RJ vs Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS
Match details. Brasileiro Serie A, Regular Season - 34. Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 23:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã), Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro. The referee is P. Zanovelli.
What's at stake. CR Flamengo RJ are 1st on 73 points after 33 games, 3 points clear of Palmeiras. Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS are 17th on 37 points after 33 games, 1 point behind Internacional, 1 point clear of Corinthians. A win would take them above Internacional.
Team news. CR Flamengo RJ are without Danilo (jaw injury), S. Niguez (muscle injury), G. Plata (yellow cards), A. Valencia (eye injury), Lucas Paqueta (injury), Danilo (jaw injury). Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS are without Carlos Vinicius (yellow cards), Danilo Barbosa (injury), Diego Caito (muscle injury), J. Nardoni (inactive), C. Pavon (muscle injury), Weverton (yellow cards). Weverton is their first-choice keeper.
Form. CR Flamengo RJ have won nine, drawn one and lost none of their last ten, 2.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D. In this competition CR Flamengo RJ have gone W W W W D W. Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D D. In this competition Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS have gone W W L D D D.
The numbers. CR Flamengo RJ score 2.2 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. CR Flamengo RJ average 19.5 shots (7.9 on target), 9.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 59% of the ball. Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS score 1.3 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS average 14.4 shots (4.6 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings CR Flamengo RJ have won six, drawn two and lost two. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, CR Flamengo RJ won two, one was drawn and Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS won one. The last time they met, on 10 May 2026, it finished CR Flamengo RJ 1-0 Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: CR Flamengo RJ had 20 shots to 6, 68% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 88% against the records' 64%.
The read. No firm call: CR Flamengo RJ are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make CR Flamengo RJ the likelier winners; CR Flamengo RJ are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CR Flamengo RJ; the meetings favour CR Flamengo RJ. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The bets. Best bet: CR Flamengo RJ to win at 1.14, 88% on the records (the tipsters read CR Flamengo RJ as a clear winner (4 scores) and CR Flamengo RJ are 1.8 points a game better this season - 21 of 24 games like this were won). Full cover: Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS Under 1.5 Goals at 1.14. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Over 9.5 Corners (the signs point different ways); Over 5.5 cards (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (CR Flamengo RJ are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: CR Flamengo RJ 2-1 Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).