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BRAZIL - BRASILEIRO SERIE A
CA Paranaense PR crestCPCAP
23:30Wed 4 Nov
CRVCR Vasco da Gama RJ crestCV

CA Paranaense PR vs CR Vasco da Gama RJ

CLASS B
THE READ

Match details. Brasileiro Serie A, Regular Season - 34. Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 23:30 Lagos time. It is played at Arena da Baixada, Curitiba, Paraná. The referee is R. Abatti.

What's at stake. CA Paranaense PR are 5th on 54 points after 33 games, level on points with Fluminense, 1 point clear of Bahia. A win would take them above Fluminense. CR Vasco da Gama RJ are 14th on 38 points after 32 games, 1 point behind Botafogo, level on points with Vitoria. A win would take them above Botafogo.

Team news. CA Paranaense PR are without Claudinho (knee injury), C. Teran (inactive), Claudinho (knee injury), C. Teran (inactive). CR Vasco da Gama RJ are without Cauan Barros (leg injury), C. Cuesta (hip injury), A. Gomez (injury), Mateus Carvalho (knee injury), Cauan Barros (leg injury), C. Cuesta (hip injury).

Form. CA Paranaense PR have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W D. In this competition CA Paranaense PR have gone L D L W D W. CR Vasco da Gama RJ have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D W. In this competition CR Vasco da Gama RJ have gone L W L D W W.

The numbers. CA Paranaense PR score 1.9 and concede two a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. CA Paranaense PR average 16.8 shots (5.8 on target), 7.1 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. CR Vasco da Gama RJ score one and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. CR Vasco da Gama RJ average 18.8 shots (5.6 on target), 7.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 58% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings CA Paranaense PR have won three, drawn two and lost four. Three of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, CA Paranaense PR won one and CR Vasco da Gama RJ won three. The last time they met, on 10 May 2026, it finished CA Paranaense PR 0-1 CR Vasco da Gama RJ: CA Paranaense PR had 9 shots to 16, 47% of the ball, five yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make CA Paranaense PR the likelier winners, but the meetings favour CR Vasco da Gama RJ. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%; six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CA Paranaense PR or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CR Vasco da Gama RJ or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CA Paranaense PR 1-1 CR Vasco da Gama RJ (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.14
CAP 6 of 10 (60%) · CRV 4 of 5 (80%)87.2%
CA Paranaense PR: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CR Vasco da Gama RJ: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · H2H 6 of 6 · CA Paranaense PR: only games against sides at CR Vasco da Gama RJ's level · CR Vasco da Gama RJ: only games against sides at CA Paranaense PR's level
CA PARANAENSE PR GOALS
CA Paranaense PR Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.20
CAP 8 of 10 (80%) · CRV 5 of 5 (100%)77.8%
CA Paranaense PR scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CR Vasco da Gama RJ conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 6 · CA Paranaense PR: only games against sides at CR Vasco da Gama RJ's level · CR Vasco da Gama RJ: only games against sides at CA Paranaense PR's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.22
CAP 8 of 10 (80%) · CRV 5 of 5 (100%)78.8%
CA Paranaense PR: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CR Vasco da Gama RJ: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores · CA Paranaense PR: only games against sides at CR Vasco da Gama RJ's level · CR Vasco da Gama RJ: only games against sides at CA Paranaense PR's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsIN CODES
1.41
CAP 7 of 8 (88%) · CRV 5 of 8 (62%)75%
CA Paranaense PR's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CR Vasco da Gama RJ's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · CA Paranaense PR: only games against sides at CR Vasco da Gama RJ's level · CR Vasco da Gama RJ: only games against sides at CA Paranaense PR's level
Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); CA Paranaense PR or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); CR Vasco da Gama RJ or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); CR Vasco da Gama RJ or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); CA Paranaense PR or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 12.9%
CA Paranaense PR goals →
CR Vasco da Gama RJ goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21.0%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.7%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
CA PARANAENSE PRWDLDWDWLDL1.30 PPG
CR VASCO DA GAMA RJLWLWWWDLWL1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CA PARANAENSE PR HOMExCR VASCO DA GAMA RJ AWAY
1.90SCORED A GAME1.702.00CONCEDED A GAME1.5020%CLEAN SHEETS40%24%FAILED TO SCORE31%7.12CORNERS A GAME7.002.38CARDS A GAME1.621.23xG1.651.55xG AGAINST0.94
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.00POINTS A GAME1.88-0.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.62-3.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+4.90.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.86LEAGUE GAMES8
CR Vasco da Gama RJ: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
CR VASCO DA GAMA RJ 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
90%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
74%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
44%
NO · 85/90
CA PARANAENSE PR OR DRAW
69%
NO · 80/85
CR VASCO DA GAMA RJ OR DRAW
60%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CA PARANAENSE PRxCR VASCO DA GAMA RJ
5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME2.202.40CONCEDED A GAME1.604.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.8100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%80%BOTH SCORE60%6.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES2.810.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.6
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9
CA PARANAENSE PR 3 · 33%DRAW 2CR VASCO DA GAMA RJ 4 · 44%
3 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED
5 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS
3 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS
0 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS
2019-09-22CA Paranaense PR 1 – 1 CR Vasco da Gama RJ
2020-09-06CA Paranaense PR 0 – 1 CR Vasco da Gama RJ
2020-12-27CA Paranaense PR 3 – 0 CR Vasco da Gama RJ
2023-07-23CA Paranaense PR 2 – 0 CR Vasco da Gama RJ
2023-11-25CA Paranaense PR 0 – 0 CR Vasco da Gama RJ
2024-05-05CA Paranaense PR 1 – 0 CR Vasco da Gama RJ
2024-08-27CA Paranaense PR 1 – 2 CR Vasco da Gama RJ
2024-08-29CA Paranaense PR 1 – 2 CR Vasco da Gama RJ
TEAM NEWS

CA PARANAENSE PR

Out: Claudinho (Knee Injury), C. Teran (Inactive), Claudinho (Knee Injury), C. Teran (Inactive)

CR VASCO DA GAMA RJ

Out: Cauan Barros (Leg Injury), C. Cuesta (Hip Injury), A. Gomez (Injury), Mateus Carvalho (Knee Injury), Cauan Barros (Leg Injury), C. Cuesta (Hip Injury)
TRENDS
CA Paranaense PR have scored in 60% of their games.
CR Vasco da Gama RJ have scored in 70% of their games.
CA Paranaense PR kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
CR Vasco da Gama RJ kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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