Match details. Primera Nacional. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time.
Form. Deportivo Moron have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L. Club Ciudad de Bolivar have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W.
The numbers. Deportivo Moron score one and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Deportivo Moron average 4.0 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Club Ciudad de Bolivar score 0.9 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Club Ciudad de Bolivar average 3.5 corners and 2.9 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Deportivo Moron the likelier winners, but both teams' records favour Club Ciudad de Bolivar.
The case against. Club Ciudad de Bolivar's record still gives them 50% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The read. Deportivo Moron or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Deportivo Moron the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Club Ciudad de Bolivar.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Deportivo Moron 2-1 Club Ciudad de Bolivar (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.10
DEP 9 of 10 (90%) · CLU 9 of 10 (90%)94.7%
Deportivo Moron: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Club Ciudad de Bolivar: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Deportivo Moron: only games against sides at Club Ciudad de Bolivar's level · Club Ciudad de Bolivar: only games against sides at Deportivo Moron's level
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.53
DEP 8 of 10 (80%) · CLU 5 of 10 (50%)76.7%
Deportivo Moron: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Club Ciudad de Bolivar: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Deportivo Moron: only games against sides at Club Ciudad de Bolivar's level · Club Ciudad de Bolivar: only games against sides at Deportivo Moron's level
DEPORTIVO MORON GOALS
Deportivo Moron Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.25
DEP 6 of 10 (60%) · CLU 6 of 10 (60%)80.4%
Deportivo Moron scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Club Ciudad de Bolivar conceded in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · Deportivo Moron: only games against sides at Club Ciudad de Bolivar's level · Club Ciudad de Bolivar: only games against sides at Deportivo Moron's level
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.4%
Deportivo Moron goals →
Club Ciudad de Bolivar goals ↓
0-09%
1-011%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.3%
1-40.5%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
DEPORTIVO MORONLLLWLLWWWD1.30 PPG
CLUB CIUDAD DE BOLIVARLWWWWLDLWD1.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
DEPORTIVO MORON HOMExCLUB CIUDAD DE BOLIVAR AWAY
1.46SCORED A GAME0.861.06CONCEDED A GAME0.8910%CLEAN SHEETS40%3.97CORNERS A GAME3.502.43CARDS A GAME2.85
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.33POINTS A GAME1.33+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.33+0.6SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.10.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.815LEAGUE GAMES12
Club Ciudad de Bolivar: the quality side - better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
80%
OKAY · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
58%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
100%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
DEPORTIVO MORON OR DRAW
70%
NO · 80/85
CLUB CIUDAD DE BOLIVAR OR DRAW
32%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (15 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
DEPORTIVO MORONxCLUB CIUDAD DE BOLIVAR
7GAMES71.86SCORED A GAME0.711.14CONCEDED A GAME1.573.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.3100%OVER 1.5 GOALS57%71%OVER 2.5 GOALS43%57%BOTH SCORE43%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Deportivo Moron have scored in 60% of their games.
Club Ciudad de Bolivar have scored in 70% of their games.
Deportivo Moron kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Club Ciudad de Bolivar kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards