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MEXICO - LIGA DE EXPANSION MX
CF Correcaminos UAT crestCCCFC
02:00Sat 31 Oct
VENVenados  FC crestVF

CF Correcaminos UAT vs Venados FC

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. Liga de Expansion MX, Apertura - 15. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 02:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. CF Correcaminos UAT are 12th on 16 points after 14 games, 1 point behind Tapatío, level on points with Dorados. A win would take them above Tapatío. Venados FC are 4th on 24 points after 14 games, level on points with Piratas, 1 point clear of Monarcas. A win would take them above Piratas.

Form. CF Correcaminos UAT have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D W. Venados FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W W.

The numbers. CF Correcaminos UAT score 0.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. CF Correcaminos UAT average 5.9 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Venados FC score 1.6 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Venados FC average 5.4 corners and 2.7 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings CF Correcaminos UAT have won three, drawn three and lost four. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in nine. In the last four, CF Correcaminos UAT won one, one was drawn and Venados FC won two. The last time they met, on 7 Mar 2026, it finished CF Correcaminos UAT 1-0 Venados FC.

The case against. CF Correcaminos UAT's record still gives them 35% to win.

The read. Venados FC or the draw. An open game. Venados FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Venados FC Over 0.5 goals (CF Correcaminos UAT's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); CF Correcaminos UAT Under 1.5 goals (Venados FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: CF Correcaminos UAT 1-2 Venados FC (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Venados FC win or both teams scorePAGE ONLY
1.21
CFC 5 of 5 (100%) · VEN 2 of 5 (40%)72.9%
Venados FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · CF Correcaminos UAT: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · H2H 5 of 6 · Venados FC: only games against sides at CF Correcaminos UAT's level · CF Correcaminos UAT: only games against sides at Venados FC's level
Venados FC or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.27
CFC 4 of 5 (80%) · VEN 2 of 5 (40%)63.5%
Venados FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · CF Correcaminos UAT: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6 · Venados FC: only games against sides at CF Correcaminos UAT's level · CF Correcaminos UAT: only games against sides at Venados FC's level
Venados FC or draw and over 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.60
CFC 2 of 5 (40%) · VEN 2 of 5 (40%)58.8%
CF Correcaminos UAT: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · Venados FC: the bet landed in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · H2H 4 of 6 · CF Correcaminos UAT: only games against sides at Venados FC's level · Venados FC: only games against sides at CF Correcaminos UAT's level
Venados FC (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.89
CFC 5 of 8 (62%) · VEN 5 of 7 (71%)55.4%
Venados FC won 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · CF Correcaminos UAT lost 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 67% · H2H 3 of 5 · Venados FC: only games against sides at CF Correcaminos UAT's level · CF Correcaminos UAT: only games against sides at Venados FC's level · won 2, refunded 4, lost 4
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFC 3 of 5 (60%) · VEN 5 of 5 (100%)93.8%
CF Correcaminos UAT: over 0.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Venados FC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 6 of 6 · CF Correcaminos UAT: only games against sides at Venados FC's level · Venados FC: only games against sides at CF Correcaminos UAT's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.12
CFC 2 of 5 (40%) · VEN 5 of 5 (100%)79.4%
CF Correcaminos UAT: over 1.5 goals in 2 of 5 at home · Venados FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 5 of 6 · CF Correcaminos UAT: only games against sides at Venados FC's level · Venados FC: only games against sides at CF Correcaminos UAT's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 74%
1.36
CFC 2 of 5 (40%) · VEN 4 of 5 (80%)51.3%
CF Correcaminos UAT: over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 at home · Venados FC: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 4 of 6 · CF Correcaminos UAT: only games against sides at Venados FC's level · Venados FC: only games against sides at CF Correcaminos UAT's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.39
CFC 2 of 5 (40%) · VEN 5 of 5 (100%)55.1%
CF Correcaminos UAT: both scored in 2 of 5 at home · Venados FC: both scored in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6 · CF Correcaminos UAT: only games against sides at Venados FC's level · Venados FC: only games against sides at CF Correcaminos UAT's level
CF CORRECAMINOS UAT GOALS
CF Correcaminos UAT Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES
1.13
CFC 3 of 5 (60%) · VEN 5 of 5 (100%)68.7%
CF Correcaminos UAT scored in 3 of 5 at home · Venados FC conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 6 of 6 · CF Correcaminos UAT: only games against sides at Venados FC's level · Venados FC: only games against sides at CF Correcaminos UAT's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.10
CFC 3 of 5 (60%) · VEN 4 of 5 (80%)81.3%
CF Correcaminos UAT: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Venados FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · CF Correcaminos UAT: only games against sides at Venados FC's level · Venados FC: only games against sides at CF Correcaminos UAT's level
2nd Half - Venados FC Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.47
CFC 4 of 5 (80%) · VEN 2 of 5 (40%)70.8%
Venados FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · CF Correcaminos UAT: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Venados FC: only games against sides at CF Correcaminos UAT's level · CF Correcaminos UAT: only games against sides at Venados FC's level
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Venados FC Over 0.5 goals (CF Correcaminos UAT's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); CF Correcaminos UAT Under 1.5 goals (Venados FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Venados FC or Draw (1UP) (the numbers (74%) and the records (53%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it); Venados FC or draw and both teams score (the numbers (40%) and the records (50%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–2 8.9%
CF Correcaminos UAT goals →
Venados FC goals ↓
0-07%
1-07%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.7%
5-00.2%
0-19%
1-113%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11.0%
5-10.2%
0-27%
1-29%
2-26%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-34%
1-34%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.4%
1-50.5%
2-50.3%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
CF CORRECAMINOS UATLLLDWLDLDW0.90 PPG
VENADOS FCWDDWWLWLLW1.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CF CORRECAMINOS UAT HOMExVENADOS FC AWAY
1.50SCORED A GAME2.211.71CONCEDED A GAME1.7930%CLEAN SHEETS10%15%FAILED TO SCORE0%5.93CORNERS A GAME5.362.64CARDS A GAME2.71
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
OVER 2.5 CARDS
–
258 OF 280
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game and the Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.08POINTS A GAME1.75-0.25GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.42-0.9SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.00.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.212LEAGUE GAMES12
Venados FC: the quality side - more points a game, better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
96%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
79%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
70%
NO · 85/90
CF CORRECAMINOS UAT OR DRAW
82%
OKAY · 80/85
VENADOS FC OR DRAW
66%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CF CORRECAMINOS UATxVENADOS FC
5GAMES61.40SCORED A GAME1.171.20CONCEDED A GAME2.172.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.360%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS67%60%BOTH SCORE100%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
CF CORRECAMINOS UAT 3 · 30%DRAW 3VENADOS FC 4 · 40%
9 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
9 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
7 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
5 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2021-10-12CF Correcaminos UAT 1 – 2 Venados FC
2022-02-02CF Correcaminos UAT 2 – 2 Venados FC
2022-06-27CF Correcaminos UAT 3 – 1 Venados FC
2023-01-10CF Correcaminos UAT 1 – 1 Venados FC
2023-08-23CF Correcaminos UAT 3 – 4 Venados FC
2024-03-24CF Correcaminos UAT 2 – 1 Venados FC
2024-10-05CF Correcaminos UAT 1 – 5 Venados FC
2025-03-21CF Correcaminos UAT 1 – 1 Venados FC
TRENDS
CF Correcaminos UAT have scored in 70% of their games.
Venados FC have scored in 100% of their games.
CF Correcaminos UAT kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Venados FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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