Match details. Liga de Expansion MX, Apertura - 15. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 02:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. CF Correcaminos UAT are 12th on 16 points after 14 games, 1 point behind Tapatío, level on points with Dorados. A win would take them above Tapatío. Venados FC are 4th on 24 points after 14 games, level on points with Piratas, 1 point clear of Monarcas. A win would take them above Piratas.
Form. CF Correcaminos UAT have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D W. Venados FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W W.
The numbers. CF Correcaminos UAT score 0.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. CF Correcaminos UAT average 5.9 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Venados FC score 1.6 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Venados FC average 5.4 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings CF Correcaminos UAT have won three, drawn three and lost four. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in nine. In the last four, CF Correcaminos UAT won one, one was drawn and Venados FC won two. The last time they met, on 7 Mar 2026, it finished CF Correcaminos UAT 1-0 Venados FC.
The case against. CF Correcaminos UAT's record still gives them 35% to win.
The read. Venados FC or the draw. An open game. Venados FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Venados FC Over 0.5 goals (CF Correcaminos UAT's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); CF Correcaminos UAT Under 1.5 goals (Venados FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: CF Correcaminos UAT 1-2 Venados FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).