Match details. Liga 1. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. Asociacion Deportiva Tarma have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L L. CD Moquegua have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L.
The numbers. Asociacion Deportiva Tarma score one and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Asociacion Deportiva Tarma average 4.4 corners and 3.0 cards a game. CD Moquegua score 0.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. CD Moquegua average 3.3 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Asociacion Deportiva Tarma 1-1 CD Moquegua (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASO 7 of 7 (100%) · CDM 9 of 9 (100%)96.3%
Asociacion Deportiva Tarma: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CD Moquegua: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Asociacion Deportiva Tarma: only games against sides at CD Moquegua's level · CD Moquegua: only games against sides at Asociacion Deportiva Tarma's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASO 7 of 7 (100%) · CDM 8 of 9 (89%)90.5%
Asociacion Deportiva Tarma: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CD Moquegua: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Asociacion Deportiva Tarma: only games against sides at CD Moquegua's level · CD Moquegua: only games against sides at Asociacion Deportiva Tarma's level
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–113.4%
Asociacion Deportiva… goals →
CD Moquegua goals ↓
0-09%
1-011%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
ASOCIACION DEPORTIVA TARMADLDLLWLLLW0.80 PPG
CD MOQUEGUALWLLLLLLWD0.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ASOCIACION DEPORTIVA TARMA HOMExCD MOQUEGUA AWAY
1.03SCORED A GAME0.831.50CONCEDED A GAME1.4720%CLEAN SHEETS20%4.43CORNERS A GAME3.333.00CARDS A GAME2.53
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.55POINTS A GAME0.43-1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.71+2.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-7.61.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.611LEAGUE GAMES7
Asociacion Deportiva Tarma: the quality side - a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
76%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
38%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
96%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
ASOCIACION DEPORTIVA TARMA OR DRAW
57%
NO · 80/85
CD MOQUEGUA OR DRAW
64%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
ASOCIACION DEPORTIVA TARMAxCD MOQUEGUA
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME0.401.20CONCEDED A GAME1.802.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE20%6.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.89.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Asociacion Deportiva Tarma have scored in 50% of their games.
CD Moquegua have scored in 50% of their games.
Asociacion Deportiva Tarma kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
CD Moquegua kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards