CSCHA

23:30Tue 3 Nov

MIR

Chapecoense SC vs Mirassol FC SP

CLASS B

THE READ

Match details. Brasileiro Serie A, Regular Season - 34. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 23:30 Lagos time. It is played at Arena Condá, Chapecó, Santa Catarina. The referee is L. Torezin.

What's at stake. Chapecoense SC are 20th on 21 points after 32 games, 8 points behind Remo. Mirassol FC SP are 16th on 37 points after 33 games, level on points with Gremio, 1 point clear of Corinthians. A win would take them above Gremio.

Team news. Chapecoense SC are without Heitor (hamstring injury), Mauricio Garcez (leg injury), Robert Conceicao (knee injury), Vinicius Balieiro (knee injury), Rafael Carvalheira (knee injury), Heitor (hamstring injury). Mirassol FC SP are without Bruno Santos (red card), Edson Carioca (yellow cards), Negueba (knee injury), Bruno Santos (red card), Edson Carioca (yellow cards), Negueba (knee injury).

Form. Chapecoense SC have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. In this competition Chapecoense SC have gone L W L L L D. Mirassol FC SP have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L D. In this competition Mirassol FC SP have gone L D W L D W.

The numbers. Chapecoense SC score 0.9 and concede two a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Chapecoense SC average 10.4 shots (3.1 on target), 3.9 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 43% of the ball. Mirassol FC SP score 0.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Mirassol FC SP average 14.9 shots (4.4 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last five meetings Chapecoense SC have won none, drawn one and lost four. None of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, one was drawn and Mirassol FC SP won three. The last time they met, on 10 May 2026, it finished Chapecoense SC 1-1 Mirassol FC SP: Chapecoense SC had 11 shots to 22, 42% of the ball, six yellow cards.

The case against. Chapecoense SC's record still gives them 30% to win.

The read. Mirassol FC SP to win. A draw is live. A tight game. Mirassol FC SP are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Mirassol FC SP; the meetings favour Mirassol FC SP. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 34%. Five of the last five meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Mirassol FC SP Over 0.5 goals (Mirassol FC SP's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Chapecoense SC 0-1 Mirassol FC SP (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Mirassol FC SP or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.28

CHA 5 of 5 (100%) · MIR 8 of 10 (80%)83.2%

Mirassol FC SP: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Chapecoense SC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 5 of 5 · Mirassol FC SP: only games against sides at Chapecoense SC's level · Chapecoense SC: only games against sides at Mirassol FC SP's level

Double Chance: Draw or Mirassol FC SPPAGE ONLY

1.29

CHA 2 of 5 (40%) · MIR 7 of 10 (70%)73.4%

Mirassol FC SP unbeaten in 2 of 5 away · Chapecoense SC failed to win 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 5 of 5 · Mirassol FC SP: only games against sides at Chapecoense SC's level · Chapecoense SC: only games against sides at Mirassol FC SP's level

Mirassol FC SP (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY

1.62

CHA 3 of 6 (50%) · MIR 6 of 9 (67%)70.7%

Mirassol FC SP won 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Chapecoense SC lost 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 58% · H2H 4 of 4 · Mirassol FC SP: only games against sides at Chapecoense SC's level · Chapecoense SC: only games against sides at Mirassol FC SP's level · won 3, refunded 1, lost 5

Mirassol FC SP or draw and under 3.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.88

CHA 4 of 10 (40%) · MIR 2 of 5 (40%)53.8%

Chapecoense SC: the bet landed in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mirassol FC SP: the bet landed in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 50% · H2H 5 of 5 · Chapecoense SC: only games against sides at Mirassol FC SP's level · Mirassol FC SP: only games against sides at Chapecoense SC's level

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.18

CHA 9 of 10 (90%) · MIR 5 of 5 (100%)88.2%

Chapecoense SC: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mirassol FC SP: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 5 of 5 · Chapecoense SC: only games against sides at Mirassol FC SP's level · Mirassol FC SP: only games against sides at Chapecoense SC's level

CHAPECOENSE SC GOALS

Chapecoense SC Under 1.5 goalsLEANIN CODES

1.46

CHA 8 of 10 (80%) · MIR 3 of 5 (60%)66.4%

Chapecoense SC scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mirassol FC SP conceded under 1.5 in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 5 · Chapecoense SC: only games against sides at Mirassol FC SP's level · Mirassol FC SP: only games against sides at Chapecoense SC's level

Chapecoense SC Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 75%

1.33

CHA 7 of 10 (70%) · MIR 5 of 5 (100%)52%

Chapecoense SC scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mirassol FC SP conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 1 of 5 · Chapecoense SC: only games against sides at Mirassol FC SP's level · Mirassol FC SP: only games against sides at Chapecoense SC's level

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsIN CODES

1.20

CHA 6 of 8 (75%) · MIR 6 of 8 (75%)75%

Chapecoense SC's games: over 2.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Mirassol FC SP's games: over 2.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Chapecoense SC: only games against sides at Mirassol FC SP's level · Mirassol FC SP: only games against sides at Chapecoense SC's level

Left off the list: Mirassol FC SP Over 0.5 goals (Mirassol FC SP's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 10.8%

Chapecoense SC goals →

Mirassol FC SP goals ↓

0-09%

1-08%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.5%

5-00.1%

0-111%

1-113%

2-17%

3-12%

4-10.7%

5-10.1%

0-28%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.5%

5-20.1%

0-34%

1-34%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.2%

5-30.0%

0-41%

1-42%

2-40.8%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.4%

1-50.4%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

CHAPECOENSE SCWLWLDLLLWL1.00 PPG

MIRASSOL FC SPDLWDWDLWDL1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CHAPECOENSE SC HOMExMIRASSOL FC SP AWAY

0.90SCORED A GAME1.102.00CONCEDED A GAME1.1010%CLEAN SHEETS20%34%FAILED TO SCORE27%3.88CORNERS A GAME5.122.12CARDS A GAME2.880.80xG1.601.88xG AGAINST1.83

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.92POINTS A GAME1.67-0.85GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.22-9.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.20.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.613LEAGUE GAMES9

Mirassol FC SP: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

MIRASSOL FC SP 0:2 HANDICAP

–

54 OF 60

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

95%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

58%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

97%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

CHAPECOENSE SC OR DRAW

75%

NO · 80/85

MIRASSOL FC SP OR DRAW

50%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CHAPECOENSE SCxMIRASSOL FC SP

5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME1.402.00CONCEDED A GAME1.002.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%40%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.8–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.2

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 5

CHAPECOENSE SC 0 · 0%DRAW 1MIRASSOL FC SP 4 · 80%

1 of 5BOTH TEAMS SCORED

1 of 5OVER 1.5 GOALS

0 of 5OVER 2.5 GOALS

0 of 5OVER 3.5 GOALS

2023-04-15Chapecoense SC 0 – 1 Mirassol FC SP

2023-07-29Chapecoense SC 0 – 1 Mirassol FC SP

2024-08-05Chapecoense SC 0 – 1 Mirassol FC SP

2024-11-24Chapecoense SC 0 – 1 Mirassol FC SP

2026-05-10Chapecoense SC 1 – 1 Mirassol FC SP

TEAM NEWS

CHAPECOENSE SC

Out: Heitor (Hamstring Injury), Mauricio Garcez (Leg Injury), Robert Conceicao (Knee Injury), Vinicius Balieiro (Knee Injury), Rafael Carvalheira (Knee Injury), Heitor (Hamstring Injury)

MIRASSOL FC SP

Out: Bruno Santos (Red Card), Edson Carioca (Yellow Cards), Negueba (Knee Injury), Bruno Santos (Red Card), Edson Carioca (Yellow Cards), Negueba (Knee Injury)

TRENDS

Chapecoense SC have scored in 70% of their games.

Mirassol FC SP have scored in 70% of their games.

Chapecoense SC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Mirassol FC SP kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards