Match details. NB I. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Ferencvarosi Budapest have won six, drawn four and lost none of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D D. Paksi FC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W.
The numbers. Ferencvarosi Budapest score 2.6 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Ferencvarosi Budapest average 12.2 shots (5.2 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Paksi FC score 1.7 and concede one a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Paksi FC average 6.9 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 68% against the records' 35%.
The read. No firm call: Ferencvarosi Budapest are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make Ferencvarosi Budapest the likelier winners; Ferencvarosi Budapest are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Paksi FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Ferencvarosi Budapest); Paksi FC or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Ferencvarosi Budapest). Predicted score: Ferencvarosi Budapest 2-0 Paksi FC (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).