Match details. LaLiga 2, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 18:30 Lagos time. It is played at Municipal El Plantio, Burgos. The referee is Rafael Sanchez Lopez.
What's at stake. Burgos CF are 6th on 20 points after 11 games, level on points with Granada CF, 1 point clear of Mallorca. A win would take them above Granada CF. CD Castellon are 1st on 26 points after 11 games, level on points with Almeria.
Form. Burgos CF have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L W. In this competition Burgos CF have gone W W L L W W. CD Castellon have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D W. In this competition CD Castellon have gone W W L D W W.
The numbers. Burgos CF score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Burgos CF average 12.1 shots (4.0 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. CD Castellon score 1.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. CD Castellon average 15.6 shots (5.8 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 61% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Burgos CF have won none, drawn one and lost three. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 18 Apr 2026, it finished Burgos CF 1-3 CD Castellon: Burgos CF had 7 shots to 14, 36% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
The case against. Burgos CF's record still gives them 31% to win.
The read. CD Castellon to win. A tight game. CD Castellon are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Castellon; the meetings favour CD Castellon. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.34, 74% on the records (Burgos CF: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; CD Castellon: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Burgos CF 0-1 CD Castellon (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
CD Castellon or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.22
BUR 5 of 5 (100%) · CDC 3 of 5 (60%)83%
CD Castellon: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Burgos CF: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 4 · CD Castellon: only games against sides at Burgos CF's level · Burgos CF: only games against sides at CD Castellon's level
CD Castellon or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.23
BUR 4 of 5 (80%) · CDC 5 of 6 (83%)74.4%
CD Castellon scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 6 away · Burgos CF trailed or failed to win in 3 of 5 at home
CD Castellon (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY
1.49
BUR 4 of 5 (80%) · CDC 3 of 8 (38%)70.3%
CD Castellon won 4 of 5 away (draws left out) · Burgos CF lost 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 62% · H2H 3 of 3 · CD Castellon: only games against sides at Burgos CF's level · Burgos CF: only games against sides at CD Castellon's level · won 5, refunded 1, lost 4
CD Castellon 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
1.58
BUR 4 of 5 (80%) · CDC 5 of 6 (83%)67.8%
CD Castellon scored first 3 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 5 of 6 away · Burgos CF trailed in 2 of 5 at home
CD Castellon or draw and under 3.5 goalsSETTLEDPAGE ONLY
1.72
BUR 1 of 5 (20%) · CDC 4 of 5 (80%)65.6%
Burgos CF: the bet landed in 1 of 5 at home · CD Castellon: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 55% · H2H 3 of 4 · Burgos CF: only games against sides at CD Castellon's level · CD Castellon: only games against sides at Burgos CF's level · rule 2: the meetings back CD Castellon: in the last 4 meetings, CD Castellon won 3 and 1 was drawn; in the last 4, CD Castellon won 3 and 1 was drawn
1X2 - 2UP: CD CastellonSETTLEDPAGE ONLY
1.98
BUR 4 of 5 (80%) · CDC 5 of 6 (83%)61.1%
CD Castellon scored first 3 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 4 · led by 2 or won in 5 of 6 away · Burgos CF trailed by 2 or lost in 1 of 5 at home · rule 2: the meetings back CD Castellon: in the last 4 meetings, CD Castellon won 3 and 1 was drawn; in the last 4, CD Castellon won 3 and 1 was drawn
CD Castellon win and under 3.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
2.80
BUR 4 of 5 (80%) · CDC 1 of 5 (20%)54.5%
CD Castellon: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Burgos CF: the bet landed in 1 of 5 at home · both last 10: 40% · H2H 2 of 4 · CD Castellon: only games against sides at Burgos CF's level · Burgos CF: only games against sides at CD Castellon's level
CD Castellon or draw and over 1.5 goalsSETTLEDPAGE ONLY
1.63
BUR 1 of 5 (20%) · CDC 4 of 5 (80%)52.2%
Burgos CF: the bet landed in 1 of 5 at home · CD Castellon: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 50% · H2H 3 of 4 · Burgos CF: only games against sides at CD Castellon's level · CD Castellon: only games against sides at Burgos CF's level · rule 2: the meetings back CD Castellon: in the last 4 meetings, CD Castellon won 3 and 1 was drawn; in the last 4, CD Castellon won 3 and 1 was drawn
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsBACKUPIN CODES
1.12
BUR 5 of 5 (100%) · CDC 5 of 5 (100%)92.5%
Burgos CF: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · CD Castellon: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 4 of 4 · Burgos CF: only games against sides at CD Castellon's level · CD Castellon: only games against sides at Burgos CF's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.34
BUR 3 of 5 (60%) · CDC 5 of 5 (100%)77.5%
Burgos CF: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · CD Castellon: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 3 of 4 · Burgos CF: only games against sides at CD Castellon's level · CD Castellon: only games against sides at Burgos CF's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.87
BUR 3 of 5 (60%) · CDC 2 of 5 (40%)51.5%
Burgos CF: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · CD Castellon: under 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 50% · H2H 2 of 4 · Burgos CF: only games against sides at CD Castellon's level · CD Castellon: only games against sides at Burgos CF's level
BURGOS CF GOALS
Burgos CF Under 1.5 goalsPAGE ONLY
1.39
BUR 3 of 5 (60%) · CDC 5 of 5 (100%)71.5%
Burgos CF scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · CD Castellon conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 4 · Burgos CF: only games against sides at CD Castellon's level · CD Castellon: only games against sides at Burgos CF's level
CD CASTELLON GOALS
CD Castellon Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.23
BUR 4 of 5 (80%) · CDC 3 of 5 (60%)77.2%
CD Castellon scored in 4 of 5 away · Burgos CF conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75% · H2H 3 of 4 · CD Castellon: only games against sides at Burgos CF's level · Burgos CF: only games against sides at CD Castellon's level
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.39
BUR 4 of 5 (80%) · CDC 5 of 5 (100%)81.4%
Burgos CF: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · CD Castellon: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 2 of 4 · on half-time scores · Burgos CF: only games against sides at CD Castellon's level · CD Castellon: only games against sides at Burgos CF's level
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BUR 7 of 8 (88%) · CDC 6 of 8 (75%)87.4%
Burgos CF's games: over 2.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Castellon's games: over 2.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Burgos CF: only games against sides at CD Castellon's level · CD Castellon: only games against sides at Burgos CF's level
Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–19.3%
Burgos CF goals →
CD Castellon goals ↓
0-08%
1-09%
2-06%
3-02%
4-00.8%
5-00.2%
0-19%
1-113%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-27%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-34%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-41.0%
1-41%
2-40.8%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.3%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
BURGOS CFLDDWWWLLWW1.70 PPG
CD CASTELLONDWWWWWDLWW2.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
BURGOS CF HOMExCD CASTELLON AWAY
1.30SCORED A GAME2.101.00CONCEDED A GAME0.4030%CLEAN SHEETS60%27%FAILED TO SCORE18%4.12CORNERS A GAME5.002.88CARDS A GAME1.381.24xG2.441.49xG AGAINST1.44
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
OVER 2.5 CARDS
–
258 OF 280
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game and the Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.89POINTS A GAME2.44+0.44GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.89-3.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.71.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.09LEAGUE GAMES9
CD Castellon: the quality side - a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
74%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
57%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
90%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
BURGOS CF OR DRAW
50%
NO · 80/85
CD CASTELLON OR DRAW
61%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
BURGOS CFxCD CASTELLON
5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME1.800.80CONCEDED A GAME0.602.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.440%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE40%4.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES6.48.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.6
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4
BURGOS CF 0 · 0%DRAW 1CD CASTELLON 3 · 75%
2 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED
3 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS
2 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS
2024-09-01Burgos CF 0 – 2 CD Castellon
2025-03-01Burgos CF 1 – 2 CD Castellon
2025-11-10Burgos CF 0 – 0 CD Castellon
2026-04-18Burgos CF 1 – 3 CD Castellon
TRENDS
Burgos CF have scored in 80% of their games.
CD Castellon have scored in 90% of their games.
Burgos CF kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
CD Castellon kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards