Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 20:30 Lagos time. It is played at Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola, a neutral ground.
What's at stake. Mosta FC are 7th on 13 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Birkirkara, 1 point clear of Hibernians. A win would take them above Birkirkara. Hibernians FC Paola are 8th on 12 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Mosta, 1 point clear of Balzan FC. A win would take them above Mosta.
Form. Mosta FC have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D L. Hibernians FC Paola have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L D.
The numbers. Mosta FC score 1.4 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Mosta FC average 8.9 shots (3.7 on target), 3.9 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Hibernians FC Paola score 0.9 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Hibernians FC Paola average 7.2 shots (2.3 on target), 5.3 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Mosta FC have won three, drawn two and lost four. Three of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Mosta FC won one, one was drawn and Hibernians FC Paola won two. The last time they met, on 24 Apr 2026, it finished Mosta FC 0-2 Hibernians FC Paola.
The case against. Hibernians FC Paola's record still gives them 35% to win.
The read. Mosta FC or the draw. A tight game. Mosta FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%. Six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Mosta FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Mosta FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Mosta FC 1-1 Hibernians FC Paola (14% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Mosta FC or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
MOS 9 of 10 (90%) · HIB 8 of 10 (80%)79.3%
Mosta FC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Hibernians FC Paola: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 3 of 6 · Mosta FC: only games against sides at Hibernians FC Paola's level · Hibernians FC Paola: only games against sides at Mosta FC's level
Mosta FC or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
MOS 3 of 5 (60%) · HIB 8 of 10 (80%)73.3%
Mosta FC scored first 1 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Hibernians FC Paola trailed or failed to win in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mosta FC: only games against sides at Hibernians FC Paola's level · Hibernians FC Paola: only games against sides at Mosta FC's level
Mosta FC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MOS 7 of 10 (70%) · HIB 8 of 10 (80%)70%
Mosta FC: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Hibernians FC Paola: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6 · Mosta FC: only games against sides at Hibernians FC Paola's level · Hibernians FC Paola: only games against sides at Mosta FC's level
Mosta FC (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
2.25
MOS 4 of 6 (67%) · HIB 4 of 7 (57%)53.2%
Mosta FC won 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Hibernians FC Paola lost 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 62% · H2H 1 of 5 · Mosta FC: only games against sides at Hibernians FC Paola's level · Hibernians FC Paola: only games against sides at Mosta FC's level · won 8, refunded 7, lost 5
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MOS 9 of 10 (90%) · HIB 10 of 10 (100%)97.5%
Mosta FC: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Hibernians FC Paola: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 6 of 6 · Mosta FC: only games against sides at Hibernians FC Paola's level · Hibernians FC Paola: only games against sides at Mosta FC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MOS 9 of 10 (90%) · HIB 10 of 10 (100%)92.9%
Mosta FC: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Hibernians FC Paola: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 5 of 6 · Mosta FC: only games against sides at Hibernians FC Paola's level · Hibernians FC Paola: only games against sides at Mosta FC's level
MOSTA FC GOALS
Mosta FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MOS 9 of 10 (90%) · HIB 8 of 10 (80%)73.7%
Mosta FC scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Hibernians FC Paola conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 3 of 6 · Mosta FC: only games against sides at Hibernians FC Paola's level · Hibernians FC Paola: only games against sides at Mosta FC's level
HIBERNIANS FC PAOLA GOALS
Hibernians FC Paola Under 1.5 goalsLEANIN CODES
1.68
MOS 7 of 10 (70%) · HIB 6 of 10 (60%)68.2%
Hibernians FC Paola scored under 1.5 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mosta FC conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 2 of 6 · Hibernians FC Paola: only games against sides at Mosta FC's level · Mosta FC: only games against sides at Hibernians FC Paola's level
Hibernians FC Paola Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MOS 6 of 10 (60%) · HIB 7 of 10 (70%)63.9%
Hibernians FC Paola scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mosta FC conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 5 of 6 · Hibernians FC Paola: only games against sides at Mosta FC's level · Mosta FC: only games against sides at Hibernians FC Paola's level
HALVES
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MOS 9 of 10 (90%) · HIB 9 of 10 (90%)88.3%
Mosta FC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Hibernians FC Paola: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Mosta FC: only games against sides at Hibernians FC Paola's level · Hibernians FC Paola: only games against sides at Mosta FC's level
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MOS 9 of 10 (90%) · HIB 5 of 10 (50%)70%
Mosta FC's games: over 2.5 cards in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Hibernians FC Paola's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Mosta FC: only games against sides at Hibernians FC Paola's level · Hibernians FC Paola: only games against sides at Mosta FC's level
Left off the list: Mosta FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Mosta FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–114.1%
Mosta FC goals →
Hibernians FC Paola goals ↓
0-011%
1-012%
2-07%
3-03%
4-00.9%
5-00.2%
0-110%
1-114%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11.0%
5-10.2%
0-26%
1-27%
2-24%
3-22%
4-20.5%
5-20.1%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.6%
4-30.2%
5-30.0%
0-40.6%
1-40.7%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
MOSTA FCWWWWDLDDDL1.60 PPG
HIBERNIANS FC PAOLALWLDLDLDWW1.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
MOSTA FC HOMExHIBERNIANS FC PAOLA AWAY
1.40SCORED A GAME0.901.30CONCEDED A GAME1.5030%CLEAN SHEETS20%11%FAILED TO SCORE33%3.90CORNERS A GAME5.302.70CARDS A GAME2.10
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.44POINTS A GAME1.33+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.33-2.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.70.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.69LEAGUE GAMES9
Hibernians FC Paola: the quality side - better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
82%
OKAY · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
34%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
97%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
MOSTA FC OR DRAW
71%
NO · 80/85
HIBERNIANS FC PAOLA OR DRAW
70%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
MOSTA FCxHIBERNIANS FC PAOLA
5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME1.202.20CONCEDED A GAME1.603.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.8100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%80%BOTH SCORE60%4.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–8.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9
MOSTA FC 3 · 33%DRAW 2HIBERNIANS FC PAOLA 4 · 44%
3 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED
6 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS
3 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS
3 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS
2023-12-17Mosta FC 0 – 0 Hibernians FC Paola
2024-04-21Mosta FC 3 – 1 Hibernians FC Paola
2024-10-19Mosta FC 1 – 0 Hibernians FC Paola
2024-12-07Mosta FC 2 – 3 Hibernians FC Paola
2025-02-23Mosta FC 0 – 2 Hibernians FC Paola
2025-09-17Mosta FC 2 – 2 Hibernians FC Paola
2026-01-11Mosta FC 2 – 0 Hibernians FC Paola
2026-01-31Mosta FC 0 – 1 Hibernians FC Paola
TRENDS
Mosta FC have scored in 90% of their games.
Hibernians FC Paola have scored in 60% of their games.
Mosta FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Hibernians FC Paola kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards