Match details. 1st Division. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. Lyn 1896 FK have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L. Raufoss IL have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D L.
The numbers. Lyn 1896 FK score 1.3 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Lyn 1896 FK average 5.5 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Raufoss IL score 1.4 and concede 3.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Raufoss IL average 4.8 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 74% against the records' 50%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The read. No firm call: Lyn 1896 FK are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make Lyn 1896 FK the likelier winners; Lyn 1896 FK are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Lyn 1896 FK.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Raufoss IL Under 1.5 goals (Lyn 1896 FK's own games don't back it (4 of 8)). Predicted score: Lyn 1896 FK 1-1 Raufoss IL (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).