Kristiansund BK scored in 4 of 5 away · Sarpsborg 08 conceded in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90% · H2H 4 of 6 · Kristiansund BK: only games against sides at Sarpsborg 08's level · Sarpsborg 08: only games against sides at Kristiansund BK's level
Match details. Eliteserien, Regular Season - 25. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsberg. The referee is Mathias Stofringshaug.
What's at stake. Sarpsborg 08 are 7th on 31 points after 24 games, 8 points behind Lillestrom, 1 point clear of KFUM Oslo. Kristiansund BK are 15th on 20 points after 24 games, 4 points behind Aalesund, 1 point clear of Start.
Team news. Sarpsborg 08 are without F. Carstensen (injury), D. Karlsbakk (yellow cards), M. Opoku (ankle injury), F. Carstensen (injury), D. Karlsbakk (yellow cards), M. Opoku (ankle injury). D. Karlsbakk is their top scorer. Kristiansund BK are without I. H. Aalberg (groin injury), L. Alvheim (yellow cards), D. Ulvestad (red card), W. Igor (knee injury), I. H. Aalberg (groin injury), L. Alvheim (yellow cards). L. Alvheim is their top scorer. D. Ulvestad is their centre-back.
Form. Sarpsborg 08 have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L D. In this competition Sarpsborg 08 have gone W L W L D D. Kristiansund BK have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L. In this competition Kristiansund BK have gone D L L L L W.
The numbers. Sarpsborg 08 score 1.2 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Sarpsborg 08 average 17.2 shots (5.6 on target), 7.6 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Kristiansund BK score one and concede 3.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Kristiansund BK average 14.6 shots (4.2 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 43% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Sarpsborg 08 have won two, drawn three and lost three. Four of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, two were drawn and Kristiansund BK won two. The last time they met, on 18 Jul 2026, it finished Sarpsborg 08 0-0 Kristiansund BK: Sarpsborg 08 had 9 shots to 11, 56% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Sarpsborg 08 the likelier winners, but Sarpsborg 08 are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Kristiansund BK.
The case against. Kristiansund BK's record still gives them 35% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. Sarpsborg 08 to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Sarpsborg 08 the likelier winners; Sarpsborg 08 are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Kristiansund BK. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%.
The bets. Best bet: Sarpsborg 08 or Draw at 1.15, 87% on the records (a proven pattern for games read like this one (team or draw)). Backup: Over 9.5 Corners at 1.37. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Sarpsborg 08 are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Sarpsborg 08 are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Sarpsborg 08 2-1 Kristiansund BK (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).