SWITZERLAND - SUPER LEAGUE
16:30Sun 1 Nov
BAS
BAS
Lugano vs Basel
CLASS A
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
89
DOUBLE CHANCE
Class A
Double Chance: Lugano or Draw
Lugano v Basel
1.16odds
86%book
+3edge
1/1angles
EDGE PICKBasel Over 0.5 goals · 51.3% · @1.37
Book 73% · Us 51% -22 price too short
Backed by
· main loses on: 0-1, 0-2, 1-2, 0-3, 1-3, 0-4, 2-3, 1-4, 0-5, 2-4, 1-5, 0-6 and 43 more up to 10-10 | hedge wins on all of themBasel scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Lugano conceded in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 66% · Basel: only games against sides at Lugano's level · Lugano: only games against sides at Basel's level
THE READ
Match details. Super League action is on the way. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 16:30 Lagos time.
Form. Lugano have won nine, drawn one and lost none of their last ten, earning 2.8 points a game. Their last five read W W W W W. Basel have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, averaging 1.4 points a game. Their last five read D W L L W.
The numbers. Lugano score 2.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, keeping two clean sheets. They average 5.6 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Basel score three and concede 1.7 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. They average 4.1 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
The read. Lugano to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Lugano the likelier winners. Lugano are the stronger side on form and the table, and both teams' records favour Lugano. Their goals for and against point to an open game, and their records put over 2.5 goals at 87%.
The bets. Best bet: Lugano or Draw at 1.17, 86% on the records (Lugano unbeaten in 7 of 7; Basel failed to win 6 of 8). Backup: Lugano or Over 2.5 Goals at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Lugano are a clear winner, no Unders); Lugano win and over 2.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Under 5.5 Goals (Lugano are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Lugano 2-1 Basel (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Lugano or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.11
LUG 5 of 5 (100%) · BAS 7 of 7 (100%)95.8%
Lugano scored first 5 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Basel trailed or failed to win in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Lugano: only games against sides at Basel's level · Basel: only games against sides at Lugano's level
Lugano or Over 2.5 GoalsBACKUPIN CODES
1.16
LUG 7 of 7 (100%) · BAS 7 of 8 (88%)95.3%
Lugano: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Basel: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Lugano: only games against sides at Basel's level · Basel: only games against sides at Lugano's level
Lugano or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LUG 7 of 7 (100%) · BAS 7 of 8 (88%)95.3%
Lugano: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Basel: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Lugano: only games against sides at Basel's level · Basel: only games against sides at Lugano's level
Double Chance: Lugano or DrawMAININ CODES
1.16
LUG 7 of 7 (100%) · BAS 6 of 8 (75%)88.8%
Lugano unbeaten in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Basel failed to win 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Lugano: only games against sides at Basel's level · Basel: only games against sides at Lugano's level
Lugano (Draw No Bet)IN CODES
1.22
LUG 6 of 6 (100%) · BAS 4 of 6 (67%)86.9%
Lugano won 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Basel lost 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 83% · Lugano: only games against sides at Basel's level · Basel: only games against sides at Lugano's level · won 5, refunded 2, lost 4
Lugano or Draw & Over 1.5IN CODES
1.28
LUG 6 of 7 (86%) · BAS 5 of 8 (62%)80.6%
Lugano: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Basel: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · Lugano: only games against sides at Basel's level · Basel: only games against sides at Lugano's level
1st Half Result or Match Result: LuganoPAGE ONLY
1.34
LUG 6 of 7 (86%) · BAS 6 of 8 (75%)80.4%
Lugano: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Basel: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · Lugano: only games against sides at Basel's level · Basel: only games against sides at Lugano's level
1X2 - 2UP: LuganoIN CODES
1.46
LUG 4 of 5 (80%) · BAS 6 of 7 (86%)76.1%
Lugano scored first 5 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 4 · led by 2 or won in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Basel trailed by 2 or lost in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Lugano: only games against sides at Basel's level · Basel: only games against sides at Lugano's level
Lugano to WinPAGE ONLY
1.51
LUG 6 of 7 (86%) · BAS 4 of 8 (50%)74.6%
Lugano won 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Basel lost 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · Lugano: only games against sides at Basel's level · Basel: only games against sides at Lugano's level
Lugano Win & Over 1.5PAGE ONLY
1.62
LUG 5 of 7 (71%) · BAS 4 of 8 (50%)70.5%
Lugano: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Basel: the bet landed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 61% · Lugano: only games against sides at Basel's level · Basel: only games against sides at Lugano's level
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.14
LUG 6 of 7 (86%) · BAS 7 of 8 (88%)87%
Lugano: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Basel: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · Lugano: only games against sides at Basel's level · Basel: only games against sides at Lugano's level
LUGANO GOALS
Lugano Over 1.5 goalsPAGE ONLY
1.43
LUG 6 of 7 (86%) · BAS 6 of 8 (75%)73.4%
Lugano scored over 1.5 in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Basel conceded over 1.5 in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Lugano: only games against sides at Basel's level · Basel: only games against sides at Lugano's level
BASEL GOALS
Basel Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.37
LUG 5 of 8 (62%) · BAS 5 of 7 (71%)76.2%
Basel scored under 1.5 in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Lugano conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · Basel: only games against sides at Lugano's level · Lugano: only games against sides at Basel's level
Basel Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 73%
1.37
LUG 6 of 8 (75%) · BAS 4 of 7 (57%)51.3%
Basel scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Lugano conceded in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 66% · Basel: only games against sides at Lugano's level · Lugano: only games against sides at Basel's level
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (Lugano are a clear winner - no Unders); Lugano win and over 2.5 goals (the numbers (46%) and the records (61%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 5.5 Goals (Lugano are a clear winner - no Unders)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 9.8%
Lugano goals →
Basel goals ↓
0-05%
1-09%
2-011%
3-08%
4-04%
5-02%
0-14%
1-19%
2-110%
3-17%
4-14%
5-12%
0-22%
1-24%
2-25%
3-23%
4-22%
5-20.8%
0-30.6%
1-31%
2-31%
3-31%
4-30.6%
5-30.2%
0-40.1%
1-40.3%
2-40.3%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.1%
0-50.0%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
LUGANOWWWWWWWDWW2.80 PPG
BASELDWLLWLLDWW1.40 PPG
THE NUMBERS
LUGANO HOMExBASEL AWAY
3.09SCORED A GAME1.550.82CONCEDED A GAME1.8260%BOTH SCORED70%40%CLEAN SHEETS20%5.64CORNERS A GAME4.092.36CARDS A GAME2.09
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
LUGANO TO SCORE
–
136 OF 144
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner in a league averaging 2.9+ goals a game.
LUGANO OR DRAW (1UP)
–
137 OF 146
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.83POINTS A GAME0.89+2.17GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.56+3.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-5.92.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.812LEAGUE GAMES9
Lugano: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
LUGANO TO SCORE
–
61 OF 64
NO PRICE YET
LUGANO 2:0 HANDICAP
–
61 OF 64
NO PRICE YET
DOUBLE CHANCE: LUGANO OR DRAW
–
58 OF 64
NO PRICE YET
LUGANO 1UP
–
49 OF 55
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
86%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
89%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
62%
NO · 85/90
LUGANO OR DRAW
88%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
BASEL OR DRAW
34%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
LUGANOxBASEL
5GAMES53.40SCORED A GAME1.201.00CONCEDED A GAME2.204.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.4100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%100%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%60%BOTH SCORE60%5.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.29.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.8
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Lugano have scored in 100% of their games.
Basel have scored in 80% of their games.
Lugano kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Basel kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards