CA Cerro vs Central Espanol FC
Match details. Primera Division, Clausura - 13. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Monumental Luis Tróccoli, Montevideo. The referee is Gustavo Tejera.
What's at stake. CA Cerro are 8th on 18 points after 12 games, level on points with Juventud, 2 points clear of Racing Montevideo. A win would take them above Juventud. Central Espanol FC are 16th on 5 points after 12 games, 4 points behind Defensor Sporting.
Form. CA Cerro have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L D. In this competition CA Cerro have gone L D W L D L. Central Espanol FC have won none, drawn two and lost eight of their last ten, 0.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. In this competition Central Espanol FC have gone L L L L L L.
The numbers. CA Cerro score 1.1 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. CA Cerro average 9.2 shots (4.8 on target), 2.8 corners and 4.5 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. Central Espanol FC score 0.4 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and six games without a goal. Central Espanol FC average 5.5 shots (2.2 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings CA Cerro have won four, drawn one and lost three. Three of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, CA Cerro won three and Central Espanol FC won one. The last time they met, on 24 May 2026, it finished CA Cerro 1-0 Central Espanol FC.
The case against. Central Espanol FC's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. CA Cerro to win. A tight game. CA Cerro are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CA Cerro. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Five of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: CA Cerro or Draw at 1.33, 72% on the records (CA Cerro unbeaten in 6 of 10; Central Espanol FC failed to win 10 of 10). Backup: CA Cerro or Both Teams Score at 1.34. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CA Cerro or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Central Espanol FC Under 1.5 goals (CA Cerro's own games don't back it (5 of 10)). Predicted score: CA Cerro 1-0 Central Espanol FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).