SGSTU

17:00Sun 8 Nov

SAL

SAL

Sturm Graz vs Salzburg

CLASS B

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THE READ

Match details. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Graz-Liebenau.

What's at stake. Sturm Graz are 4th on 19 points after 11 games, 3 points behind Lask Linz, 2 points clear of TSV Hartberg. A win would take them level on points with Lask Linz. Salzburg are 2nd on 27 points after 11 games, 3 points behind Rapid Vienna, 5 points clear of Lask Linz. A win would take them level on points with Rapid Vienna.

Form. Sturm Graz have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W L. In this competition Sturm Graz have gone D D W W L W. Salzburg have won seven, drawn three and lost none of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W. In this competition Salzburg have gone W W W D W D.

The numbers. Sturm Graz score 2.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Sturm Graz average 17.1 shots (5.4 on target), 6.6 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. Salzburg score 1.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Salzburg average 17.5 shots (7.0 on target), 5.9 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 62% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Sturm Graz have won four, drawn four and lost two. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, three were drawn and Salzburg won one. The last time they met, on 20 Sep 2026, it finished Sturm Graz 0-3 Salzburg: Sturm Graz had 14 shots to 15, 45% of the ball, one yellow card.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.

The case against. Sturm Graz's record still gives them 30% to win.

The read. Salzburg to win. Salzburg are the stronger side on form and the table.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Salzburg or draw and over 1.5 goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Sturm Graz 1-2 Salzburg (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Salzburg or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

STU 4 of 5 (80%) · SAL 4 of 5 (80%)90.6%

Salzburg: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Sturm Graz: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90% · H2H 6 of 6 · Salzburg: only games against sides at Sturm Graz's level · Sturm Graz: only games against sides at Salzburg's level

Salzburg win or both teams scoreIN CODES

1.12

STU 4 of 5 (80%) · SAL 4 of 5 (80%)85.6%

Salzburg: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Sturm Graz: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6 · Salzburg: only games against sides at Sturm Graz's level · Sturm Graz: only games against sides at Salzburg's level

Salzburg or Draw (1UP)IN CODES

1.22

STU 4 of 5 (80%) · SAL 5 of 6 (83%)81.1%

Salzburg scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 6 away · Sturm Graz trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 at home

Double Chance: Draw or SalzburgLEANPAGE ONLY

1.36

STU 5 of 5 (100%) · SAL 2 of 5 (40%)72%

Salzburg unbeaten in 5 of 5 away · Sturm Graz failed to win 2 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6 · Salzburg: only games against sides at Sturm Graz's level · Sturm Graz: only games against sides at Salzburg's level

Salzburg 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

1.46

STU 3 of 5 (60%) · SAL 4 of 6 (67%)62.2%

Salzburg scored first 2 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 4 of 6 away · Sturm Graz trailed in 3 of 5 at home

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

STU 5 of 5 (100%) · SAL 4 of 5 (80%)94.7%

Sturm Graz: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Salzburg: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 6 of 6 · Sturm Graz: only games against sides at Salzburg's level · Salzburg: only games against sides at Sturm Graz's level

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

STU 4 of 5 (80%) · SAL 5 of 5 (100%)89.2%

Sturm Graz: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Salzburg: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 5 of 6 · Sturm Graz: only games against sides at Salzburg's level · Salzburg: only games against sides at Sturm Graz's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

STU 4 of 5 (80%) · SAL 4 of 5 (80%)82.3%

Sturm Graz: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Salzburg: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 6 of 6 · Sturm Graz: only games against sides at Salzburg's level · Salzburg: only games against sides at Sturm Graz's level

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.34

STU 4 of 5 (80%) · SAL 5 of 5 (100%)70.5%

Sturm Graz: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Salzburg: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6 · Sturm Graz: only games against sides at Salzburg's level · Salzburg: only games against sides at Sturm Graz's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.36

STU 4 of 5 (80%) · SAL 3 of 5 (60%)60.9%

Sturm Graz: both scored in 4 of 5 at home · Salzburg: both scored in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · H2H 4 of 6 · Sturm Graz: only games against sides at Salzburg's level · Salzburg: only games against sides at Sturm Graz's level

STURM GRAZ GOALS

Sturm Graz Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.79

STU 2 of 5 (40%) · SAL 5 of 5 (100%)51%

Sturm Graz scored under 1.5 in 2 of 5 at home · Salzburg conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6 · Sturm Graz: only games against sides at Salzburg's level · Salzburg: only games against sides at Sturm Graz's level

SALZBURG GOALS

Salzburg Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.11

STU 4 of 5 (80%) · SAL 4 of 5 (80%)80.6%

Salzburg scored in 4 of 5 away · Sturm Graz conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6 · Salzburg: only games against sides at Sturm Graz's level · Sturm Graz: only games against sides at Salzburg's level

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.21

STU 4 of 5 (80%) · SAL 2 of 5 (40%)62.9%

Sturm Graz: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Salzburg: the bet landed in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Sturm Graz: only games against sides at Salzburg's level · Salzburg: only games against sides at Sturm Graz's level

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

STU 8 of 8 (100%) · SAL 5 of 8 (62%)81.3%

Sturm Graz's games: over 2.5 cards in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Salzburg's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Sturm Graz: only games against sides at Salzburg's level · Salzburg: only games against sides at Sturm Graz's level

Left off the list: Salzburg or draw and over 1.5 goals (the numbers (48%) and the records (64%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 8.2%

Sturm Graz goals →

Salzburg goals ↓

0-07%

1-08%

2-06%

3-03%

4-01.0%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-26%

1-28%

2-26%

3-23%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-33%

1-34%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.9%

1-41%

2-40.9%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

STURM GRAZWWDLWLWWDD1.80 PPG

SALZBURGDWWWDWDWWW2.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

STURM GRAZ HOMExSALZBURG AWAY

1.80SCORED A GAME2.801.20CONCEDED A GAME0.6030%CLEAN SHEETS40%9%FAILED TO SCORE9%6.62CORNERS A GAME5.882.88CARDS A GAME1.252.07xG2.211.52xG AGAINST0.99

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.73POINTS A GAME2.45+0.55GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+2.09+1.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.61.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.611LEAGUE GAMES11

Salzburg: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

SALZBURG 0:2 HANDICAP

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373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

86%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

50%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

83%

NO · 85/90

STURM GRAZ OR DRAW

84%

OKAY · 80/85

SALZBURG OR DRAW

74%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

STURM GRAZxSALZBURG

5GAMES52.40SCORED A GAME1.601.00CONCEDED A GAME0.603.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%80%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

STURM GRAZ 4 · 40%DRAW 4SALZBURG 2 · 20%

7 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

10 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

6 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

4 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2024-04-28Sturm Graz 2 – 2 Salzburg

2024-10-06Sturm Graz 5 – 0 Salzburg

2025-03-02Sturm Graz 1 – 3 Salzburg

2025-04-13Sturm Graz 2 – 1 Salzburg

2025-05-09Sturm Graz 4 – 2 Salzburg

2025-09-20Sturm Graz 2 – 0 Salzburg

2025-11-09Sturm Graz 1 – 1 Salzburg

2026-03-20Sturm Graz 1 – 1 Salzburg

TRENDS

Sturm Graz have scored in 70% of their games.

Salzburg have scored in 70% of their games.

Sturm Graz kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Salzburg kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards